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Die Another Day: Duration in German Import Trade

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  • Volker Nitsch

Abstract

International trade patterns at the product level are surprisingly dynamic. The majority of trade relationships exist for just a few, often only two to four, years. In this paper, I examine empirically the duration in German import trade at the 8-digit product level from 1995 to 2005. I find that survival probabilities are affected by product type, exporter characteristics and market structure. Specifically, I show that the duration of exporting a product to Germany is longer for differentiated products, for products with a low elasticity of substitution, for products obtained from a large exporter that is geographically close to the German market, and for products in markets with increasing import demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Volker Nitsch, 2007. "Die Another Day: Duration in German Import Trade," DEGIT Conference Papers c012_037, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
  • Handle: RePEc:deg:conpap:c012_037
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Survival; product; relationship; pattern;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F19 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Other

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