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On Export Duration Puzzles

Author

Listed:
  • Wendkouni Jean‐baptiste Zongo

    (Université de Ouahigouya, Laval University, Quebec, Canada, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada)

  • Bruno Larue

    (Laval University, Quebec, Canada)

  • Carl Gaigné

    (SMART - Structures et Marché Agricoles, Ressources et Territoires - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Rennes Angers - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement, Laval University, Quebec, Canada)

Abstract

We investigate two puzzles in the export duration literature. The first puzzle has to do with the frequent entries and exits of firms in export markets, which are at odds with the large fixed export costs in such markets. We introduce convex production technologies in a trade model to show how variable marginal costs create direct linkages between export markets. As fixed export costs vary across destinations, more productive firms need not necessarily export to more destinations. Cost convexity implies that the probability of supplying a given export market is adversely affected by positive export shocks in other markets. This is supported by our empirical analysis of bilateral flows for over 200 agri‐food products to 176 destinations originating from six large exporting countries. The second puzzle has to do with the paradoxical effect of tariffs reported in empirical export duration studies. When endogeneity is addressed, tariffs increase the probability of an export failure.

Suggested Citation

  • Wendkouni Jean‐baptiste Zongo & Bruno Larue & Carl Gaigné, 2023. "On Export Duration Puzzles," Post-Print hal-05584324, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05584324
    DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12321
    as

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