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From Bismarck to Beveridge: the other pension reform in Spain

Author

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  • J. Ignacio Conde-Ruiz

    (Universidad Complutense de Madrid and Fundación de Estudios de Economía Aplicada - FEDEA)

  • Clara I. González

    (Banco de España)

Abstract

Ageing is the major challenge for the PAYG pension systems in developed countries. Most of them are undergoing reforms in order to adapt to the new demographic reality. The package of reforms implemented includes increasing the retirement age, reducing the replacement rate, or introducing a sustainability factor linking pension to life expectancy. The aim of this paper is to analyse the potential consequences of a different type of reform that is at a very incipient stage in Spain but that could have a significant impact if it were fully implemented. This reform, called ‘silent reform’ because it is imperceptible to citizens in its early stages, basically consists in increasing maximum pensions in line with inflation instead of wage or productivity growth. This policy is reducing the replacement rate only for high earning workers and increasing the redistributive component of the system. This paper is the first to quantify and evaluate the potential consequences of this type of reform in Spain. We have used an accounting model with heterogeneous agents and overlapping generations in order to project pension expenditure for the next six decades. The results show that this type of reform could potentially contain future expenditure but at the cost of changing the nature of the pension system from a contributory or Bismarckian-type system into a pure redistributive pension system or Beveridgean-type one.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Ignacio Conde-Ruiz & Clara I. González, 2016. "From Bismarck to Beveridge: the other pension reform in Spain," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 7(4), pages 461-490, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:series:v:7:y:2016:i:4:d:10.1007_s13209-016-0148-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s13209-016-0148-3
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    Cited by:

    1. Pilar García-Gómez & Sergi Jiménez-Martín & Judit Vall Castelló, 2018. "Trends in Labor Force Participation of Older Workers in Spain," NBER Chapters, in: Social Security Programs and Retirement around the World: Working Longer, pages 205-230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Vaclav Zdarek, 2015. "A Robust Search for Determinants of Price Convergence in European Union – Known “Suspects” or New “Villains”?," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 9(1), pages 7-41.
    3. J. Ignacio Conde-Ruiz & Clara I. González, 2016. "From Bismarck to Beveridge: the other pension reform in Spain," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 7(4), pages 461-490, November.
    4. Jaroslav Vostatek, 2015. "Social and Provision Models of Pension Insurance and Savings," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 9(1), pages 74-103.
    5. Ander Iraizoz, 2020. "Saving for retirement through the public pension system: Evidence from the self-employed in Spain," Working Papers halshs-02948136, HAL.
    6. repec:ces:ifodic:v:13:y:2015:i:2:p:19166291 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Hanna Aspegren & Jorge Durán & Maarten Masselink, 2019. "Pension Reform in Sweden: Sustainability and Adequacy of Public Pensions," European Economy - Economic Briefs 048, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    8. Julián Díaz Saavedra, 2016. "Productividad y viabilidad del sistema Público de Pensiones," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 218(3), pages 11-32, September.
    9. Darío Serrano-Puente, 2020. "Optimal progressivity of personal income tax: a general equilibrium evaluation for Spain," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 407-455, December.
    10. J. Ignacio Conde-Ruiz & Clara I. González, 2015. "Challenges for Spanish Pensions in the Early 21st Century," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 13(02), pages 20-24, August.
    11. J. Ignacio Conde-Ruiz, 2020. "Pensiones para el siglo XXI," Policy Papers 2020-01, FEDEA.
    12. Ander Iraizoz, 2020. "Saving for retirement through the public pension system: Evidence from the self-employed in Spain," PSE Working Papers halshs-02948136, HAL.
    13. Alina Kulai, 2015. "Integrational Models and Forms of Inter-State Public-Private Partnership: Aspects of Financial Convergence," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 9(1), pages 42-58.
    14. Jaroslav Tichý, 2015. "Risks of Mortgage Loans in the Czech Republic," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 9(1), pages 59-73.
    15. Gordana Matković & Katarina Stanić, 2020. "The Serbian Pension System In Transition: A Silent Break With Bismarck," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics, University of Belgrade, vol. 65(225), pages 105-134, April – J.
    16. J. Ignacio Conde-Ruiz & Clara I. González, 2015. "Challenges for Spanish Pensions in the Early 21st Century," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 13(2), pages 20-24, 08.
    17. J. Ignacio Conde-Ruiz, 2019. "¿Qué haríamos si hubiese que reinventar las pensiones?," Policy Papers 2019-02, FEDEA.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ageing; Spanish pension system; Reform; Sustainability; Accounting projection model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies

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