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Testing, Voluntary Social Distancing, and the Spread of an Infection

Author

Listed:
  • Daron Acemoglu

    (Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02142)

  • Ali Makhdoumi

    (Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina 27708)

  • Azarakhsh Malekian

    (Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario M5S 3E6, Canada)

  • Asuman Ozdaglar

    (Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139)

Abstract

We study the effects of testing policy on voluntary social distancing and the spread of an infection. Agents decide their social activity level, which determines a social network over which the virus spreads. Testing enables the isolation of infected individuals, slowing down the infection. However, greater testing also reduces voluntary social distancing or increases social activity, exacerbating the spread of the virus. We show that the effect of testing on infections is nonmonotone. This nonmonotonicity also implies that the optimal testing policy may leave some of the testing capacity of society unused.

Suggested Citation

  • Daron Acemoglu & Ali Makhdoumi & Azarakhsh Malekian & Asuman Ozdaglar, 2024. "Testing, Voluntary Social Distancing, and the Spread of an Infection," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 72(2), pages 533-548, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:72:y:2024:i:2:p:533-548
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.2220
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