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Containing 2019-nCoV (Wuhan) coronavirus

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  • Edward H. Kaplan

    (Yale School of Management)

Abstract

The novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV first appeared in December 2019 in Wuhan, China. While most of the initial cases were linked to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, person-to-person transmission has been verified. Given that a vaccine cannot be developed and deployed for at least a year, preventing further transmission relies upon standard principles of containment, two of which are the isolation of known cases and the quarantine of persons believed at high risk of exposure. This note presents probability models for assessing the effectiveness of case isolation and quarantine within a community during the initial phase of an outbreak with illustrations based on early observations from Wuhan.

Suggested Citation

  • Edward H. Kaplan, 2020. "Containing 2019-nCoV (Wuhan) coronavirus," Health Care Management Science, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 311-314, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:hcarem:v:23:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s10729-020-09504-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s10729-020-09504-6
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Matthias Klumpp & Dominic Loske & Silvio Bicciato, 2022. "COVID-19 health policy evaluation: integrating health and economic perspectives with a data envelopment analysis approach," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 23(8), pages 1263-1285, November.
    2. Matthias Klumpp & Dominic Loske, 2021. "Sustainability and Resilience Revisited: Impact of Information Technology Disruptions on Empirical Retail Logistics Efficiency," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-20, May.
    3. Chang, Joseph T. & Kaplan, Edward H., 2023. "Modeling local coronavirus outbreaks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(1), pages 57-68.
    4. Atul Pokharel & Robert Soulé & Avi Silberschatz, 2021. "A case for location based contact tracing," Health Care Management Science, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 420-438, June.
    5. Edward H. Kaplan & Dennis Wang & Mike Wang & Amyn A. Malik & Alessandro Zulli & Jordan Peccia, 2021. "Aligning SARS-CoV-2 indicators via an epidemic model: application to hospital admissions and RNA detection in sewage sludge," Health Care Management Science, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 320-329, June.
    6. Sarbast Moslem & Tiziana Campisi & Agnieszka Szmelter-Jarosz & Szabolcs Duleba & Kh Md Nahiduzzaman & Giovanni Tesoriere, 2020. "Best–Worst Method for Modelling Mobility Choice after COVID-19: Evidence from Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-19, August.
    7. Anna Nagurney & Pritha Dutta, 2021. "A Multiclass, Multiproduct Covid-19 Convalescent Plasma Donor Equilibrium Model," SN Operations Research Forum, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 1-30, September.
    8. Joseph T. Chang & Forrest W. Crawford & Edward H. Kaplan, 2021. "Repeat SARS-CoV-2 testing models for residential college populations," Health Care Management Science, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 305-318, June.
    9. Eugenio F. Sánchez-Úbeda & Pedro Sánchez-Martín & Macarena Torrego-Ellacuría & Ángel Del Rey-Mejías & Manuel F. Morales-Contreras & José-Luis Puerta, 2021. "Flexibility and Bed Margins of the Community of Madrid’s Hospitals during the First Wave of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(7), pages 1-22, March.
    10. Gillis, Melissa & Urban, Ryley & Saif, Ahmed & Kamal, Noreen & Murphy, Matthew, 2021. "A simulation–optimization framework for optimizing response strategies to epidemics," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 8(C).
    11. Daron Acemoglu & Ali Makhdoumi & Azarakhsh Malekian & Asuman Ozdaglar, 2020. "Testing, Voluntary Social Distancing and the Spread of an Infection," NBER Working Papers 27483, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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