Forecasting oil price realized volatility using information channels from other asset classes
Citations
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Cited by:
- Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "The incremental information content of investor fear gauge for volatility forecasting in the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 370-386.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2022.
"Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodities,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 74-96.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Agricultural Commodities," MPRA Paper 96267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020.
"Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price,"
Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-11, May.
- Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Chao Liang & Yin Liao & Feng Ma & Bo Zhu, 2022. "United States Oil Fund volatility prediction: the roles of leverage effect and jumps," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2239-2262, May.
- Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Burkhanov, Aktam Usmanovich & Usmonov, Bunyod & Khajimuratov, Nizomjon Shukurullaevich & Khurramova, Madina Mansur qizi, 2024. "The role of sudden variance shifts in predicting volatility in bioenergy crop markets under structural breaks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
- Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility and Co-volatility of Crude Oil and Gold Futures: Effects of Leverage, Jumps, Spillovers, and Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201951, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019.
"The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-17, September.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of jumps and leverage in forecasting the co-volatility of oil and gold futures," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-12, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Working Papers 201925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Asai, M. & Gupta, R. & McAleer, M.J., 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2019-16, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Arroyo Marioli,Francisco & Khadan,Jeetendra & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Yamazaki,Takefumi, 2023. "Forecasting Industrial Commodity Prices : Literature Review and a Model Suite," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10611, The World Bank.
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- Li, Dongxin & Zhang, Li & Li, Lihong, 2023. "Forecasting stock volatility with economic policy uncertainty: A smooth transition GARCH-MIDAS model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Liang, Qian & Lin, Qingyuan & Guo, Mengzhuo & Lu, Quanying & Zhang, Dayong, 2025. "Forecasting crude oil prices: A Gated Recurrent Unit-based nonlinear Granger Causality model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Zhang, Feipeng & Gao, Hongfu & Yuan, Di, 2024. "The asymmetric effect of G7 stock market volatility on predicting oil price volatility: Evidence from quantile autoregression model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
- Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022.
"Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
- Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Oil Tail Risks and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Oil-Price: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202146, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024.
"Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Realized Volatility of Oil Price Returns," Working Papers 202325, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Yaxuan Kong & Yoontae Hwang & Marcus Kaiser & Chris Vryonides & Roel Oomen & Stefan Zohren, 2025. "Fusing Narrative Semantics for Financial Volatility Forecasting," Papers 2510.20699, arXiv.org.
- Zhang, Lixia & Luo, Qin & Guo, Xiaozhu & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Medium-term and long-term volatility forecasts for EUA futures with country-specific economic policy uncertainty indices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Geopolitical Risks and the Predictability of Regional Oil Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201860, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Eleftheria Kafousaki & Stavros Degiannakis, 2023.
"Forecasting VIX: the illusion of forecast evaluation criteria,"
Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 231-240.
- Stavros Degiannakis & Eleftheria Kafousaki, 2023. "Forecasting VIX: The illusion of forecast evaluation criteria," Working Papers 322, Bank of Greece.
- Xu, Zhiwei & Gan, Shiqi & Hua, Xia & Xiong, Yujie, 2024. "Can the sentiment of the official media predict the return volatility of the Chinese crude oil futures?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
- Shi, Chunpei & Wei, Yu & Li, Xiafei & Liu, Yuntong, 2023. "Combination forecasts of China's oil futures returns based on multiple uncertainties and their connectedness with oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Yang Zhou & Chi Xie & Gang-Jin Wang & Jue Gong & You Zhu, 2025. "Forecasting cryptocurrency volatility: a novel framework based on the evolving multiscale graph neural network," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-52, December.
- Scarcioffolo, Alexandre R. & Etienne, Xiaoli L., 2021. "Regime-switching energy price volatility: The role of economic policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 336-356.
- Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Colak, Gonul & Filippidis, Michail & Filis, George & Tzouvanas, Panagiotis, 2025. "Systemic risk and oil price volatility shocks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Wu, Bangzheng, 2025. "Sino-American relations and gold market volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Minh Vo, 2025. "Measuring and Forecasting Stock Market Volatilities with High-Frequency Data," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(6), pages 3503-3544, June.
- Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019.
"Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Time-Varying Predictability of Oil Market Movements Over a Century of Data: The Role of US Financial Stress," Working Papers 201848, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Li, Shuaibing & Ma, Yong, 2025. "News-based equity market uncertainty aligned: An informative predictor for gold market volatility," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
- Chen, Yan & Zhang, Lei & Zhang, Feipeng, 2024. "Forecasting crude oil volatility and stock volatility: New evidence from the quantile autoregressive model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2019.
"Futures-based forecasts: How useful are they for oil price volatility forecasting?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 639-649.
- Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2019. "Futures-based forecasts: How useful are they for oil price volatility forecasting?," MPRA Paper 96446, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Vipin Arora, 2018.
"Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence,"
The Energy Journal, , vol. 39(5), pages 85-130, September.
- Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Vipin Arora, 2018. "Oil prices and stock markets: A review of the theory and empirical evidence," BAFES Working Papers BAFES22, Department of Accounting, Finance & Economic, Bournemouth University.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Arora, Vipin, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence," MPRA Paper 96270, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ding, Hui & Huang, Yisu & Wang, Jiqian, 2023. "Have the predictability of oil changed during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from international stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- Lv, Wendai, 2018. "Does the OVX matter for volatility forecasting? Evidence from the crude oil market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 916-922.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Wahab, M.I.M. & Wang, Yudong, 2023. "Forecasting crude oil market volatility using variable selection and common factor," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 486-502.
- Ma, Yong & Li, Shuaibing & Liu, Xiaojun, 2025. "Forecasting energy commodity returns: Can weak factors and nonlinearity help?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
- Delis, Panagiotis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2025.
"Navigating crude oil volatility forecasts: Assessing the contribution of geopolitical risk,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
- Panagiotis Delis & Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis, 2025. "Navigating crude oil volatility forecasts: assessing the contribution of geopolitical risk," Working Papers 342, Bank of Greece.
- Jiawen Luo & Tony Klein & Thomas Walther & Qiang Ji, 2024.
"Forecasting realized volatility of crude oil futures prices based on machine learning,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1422-1446, August.
- Luo, Jiawen & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Crude Oil Futures Prices based on Machine Learning," QBS Working Paper Series 2021/04, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
- Wei, Yu & Wang, Yizhi & Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A., 2023. "Cryptocurrency uncertainty and volatility forecasting of precious metal futures markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
- Yusui Tang & Feng Ma & Yaojie Zhang & Yu Wei, 2022. "Forecasting the oil price realized volatility: A multivariate heterogeneous autoregressive model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4770-4783, October.
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- Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Yang, Ke & Zhang, Yaojie, 2018. "Forecasting the oil futures price volatility: Large jumps and small jumps," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 321-330.
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"Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
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- Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020.
"Forecasting realized gold volatility: Is there a role of geopolitical risks?,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Gold Volatility: Is there a Role of Geopolitical Risks?," Working Papers 201943, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Yang, Cai & Niu, Zibo & Gao, Wang, 2022. "The time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks shocks on the commodity market prices: Evidence from the TVP-VAR-SV approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
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"A moving average heterogeneous autoregressive model for forecasting the realized volatility of the US stock market: Evidence from over a century of data,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 384-400, January.
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"Forecasting realized oil-price volatility: The role of financial stress and asymmetric loss,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
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"Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodity futures with infinite Hidden Markov HAR models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 51-73.
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"Global financial cycle and the predictability of oil market volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS model,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
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"The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
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"Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
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"What Should be Taken into Consideration when Forecasting Oil Implied Volatility Index?,"
The Energy Journal, , vol. 44(5), pages 231-250, September.
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"Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, December.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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- Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022.
"Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests,"
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