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Rainfall and conflict: A cautionary tale

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Anna Josephson & Jeffrey D. Michler & Talip Kilic & Siobhan Murray, 2024. "The Mismeasure of Weather: Using Remotely Sensed Earth Observation Data in Economic Context," Papers 2409.07506, arXiv.org.
  2. Ore Koren & Benjamin E Bagozzi & Thomas S Benson, 2021. "Food and water insecurity as causes of social unrest: Evidence from geolocated Twitter data," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 58(1), pages 67-82, January.
  3. Camille Laville, 2018. "The econometrical causal analysis of internal conflicts: The evolutions of a growing literature [L’analyse économétrique des conflits internes par l’approche causale : les évolutions d’une littérature en expansion]," CERDI Working papers hal-01940461, HAL.
  4. Lu, Yifan & Yamazaki, Satoshi, 2023. "Fish to fight: Does catching more fish increase conflicts in Indonesia?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
  5. Crost, Benjamin & Duquennois, Claire & Felter, Joseph H. & Rees, Daniel I., 2018. "Climate change, agricultural production and civil conflict: Evidence from the Philippines," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 379-395.
  6. Sara Balestri & Raul Caruso, 2024. "Vulnerability to Climate Change and Communal Conflicts: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa and South/South-East Asia," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(10), pages 1530-1556, October.
  7. Eoin McGuirk & Marshall Burke, 2020. "The Economic Origins of Conflict in Africa," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(10), pages 3940-3997.
  8. Oeindrila Dube & Joshua Blumenstock & Michael Callen, 2022. "Measuring Religion from Behavior: Climate Shocks and Religious Adherence in Afghanistan," NBER Working Papers 30694, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  9. Sunde, Uwe & Cervellati, Matteo & Esposito, Elena & Valmori, Simona, 2016. "Malaria Risk and Civil Violence," CEPR Discussion Papers 11496, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  10. Hai‐Anh H. Dang & Stephane Hallegatte & Trong‐Anh Trinh, 2024. "Does global warming worsen poverty and inequality? An updated review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 1873-1905, December.
  11. repec:ags:aaea22:335448 is not listed on IDEAS
  12. Unal Seven & Semih Tumen, 2020. "Agricultural Credits And Agricultural Productivity: Cross-Country Evidence," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(supp01), pages 161-183, December.
  13. Laville,Camille & Mandon,Pierre Jean-Claude, 2023. "Internal Conflicts and Shocks. A Narrative Meta-Analysis," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10315, The World Bank.
  14. Nomoto, Takaaki, 2016. "Rainfall Variability and Macroeconomic Performance:A Case Study of India, 1952–2013," MPRA Paper 71976, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Martin-Shields, Charles P. & Stojetz, Wolfgang, 2019. "Food security and conflict: Empirical challenges and future opportunities for research and policy making on food security and conflict," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 150-164.
  16. Bharti, Nitin Kumar & Roy, Sutanuka, 2023. "The early origins of judicial stringency in bail decisions: Evidence from early childhood exposure to Hindu-Muslim riots in India," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
  17. Heger, Martin Philipp & Zens, Gregor & Bangalore, Mook, 2020. "Land and poverty: the role of soil fertility and vegetation quality in poverty reduction," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 115658, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  18. Elizabeth J Tennant & Elisabeth A Gilmore, 2025. "Dynamics of organized violence in the wake of tropical cyclones," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(6), pages 1678-1693, November.
  19. Sardoschau, Sulin & Casanueva-Artís, Annalí, 2025. "The Cost of Tolerating Intolerance: Right-Wing Protest and Hate Crimes," IZA Discussion Papers 17763, IZA Network @ LISER.
  20. Bonnier, Evelina & Poulsen, Jonas & Rogall, Thorsten & Stryjan, Miri, 2020. "Preparing for genocide: Quasi-experimental evidence from Rwanda," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  21. Sebastien Mary & Kyle Craven & Avraham Stoler & Sarah Shafiq, 2023. "Revisiting the Impact of Dams on Malaria and Agriculture," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-19, June.
  22. Thiemo Fetzer, 2020. "Can Workfare Programs Moderate Conflict? Evidence from India," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 18(6), pages 3337-3375.
  23. Panza, Laura & Swee, Eik Leong, 2023. "Fanning the flames: Rainfall shocks, inter‐ethnic income inequality, and conflict intensification in Mandate Palestine," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 71-94.
  24. Unfried, Kerstin & Kis-Katos, Krisztina & Poser, Tilman, 2022. "Water scarcity and social conflict," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  25. Mahesh Malvika, 2020. "The Effect of Remittances on Crime in India," IZA Journal of Labor Policy, Sciendo & Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 10(1), pages 1-18, March.
  26. Jamie Mullins & Corey White, 2019. "Does Access to Health Care Mitigate Environmental Damages?," Working Papers 1905, California Polytechnic State University, Department of Economics.
  27. Eunbin Chung & Inbok Rhee, 2022. "Disasters and intergroup peace in sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 59(1), pages 58-72, January.
  28. Ishak, Phoebe W., 2022. "Murder nature: Weather and violent crime in rural Brazil," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
  29. Lopez-Uribe, Maria del Pilar & Sanchez Torres, Fabio, 2024. "Ideology and Rifles: The Agrarian Origins of Civil Conflict in Colombia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
  30. Astrid Sneyers, 2026. "Unraveling Food Security, Drought and Conflict Exposure of Somali Households," HiCN Working Papers 449, Households in Conflict Network.
  31. Sulin Sardoschau & Annali Casanueva-Artis, 2025. "The Cost of Tolerating Intolerance: Right-wing Protest and Hate Crimes," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 2508, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin).
  32. Sulin Sardoschau & Annalí Casanueva Artís, 2025. "The Cost of Tolerating Intolerance: Right-Wing Protest and Hate Crimes," CESifo Working Paper Series 11745, CESifo.
  33. Michler, Jeffrey D. & Josephson, Anna & Kilic, Talip & Murray, Siobhan, 2022. "Privacy protection, measurement error, and the integration of remote sensing and socioeconomic survey data," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
  34. Jindong Pang & Shulin Shen & Jinyu Yang, 2026. "Water Infrastructure and Grain Yield: Evidence From the South‐to‐North Water Diversion Project," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 57(1), January.
  35. Yuzuka KASHIWAGI & Yasuyuki TODO, 2021. "How Do Disasters Change Inter-Group Perceptions? Evidence from the 2018 Sulawesi Earthquake," Discussion papers 21082, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  36. World Bank Group, 2016. "High and Dry," World Bank Publications - Reports 23665, The World Bank Group.
  37. Soumaïla Gansonré, 2024. "Rainfall variability and welfare of agricultural households: Evidence from rural Niger," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 55(4), pages 572-587, July.
  38. Sara Cools & Martin Flatø & Andreas Kotsadam, 2020. "Rainfall shocks and intimate partner violence in sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 57(3), pages 377-390, May.
  39. Kikuta,Kyosuke, 2022. "Rainy Friday: religious participation and protests," IDE Discussion Papers 859, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
  40. Niu, Tong & Yu, Qiuliang, 2025. "The contagion of uncertainty perceptions in value chains: Firm evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  41. Jeffrey R. Bloem, 2019. "Good Intentions Gone Bad? The Dodd-Frank Act and Conflict in Africa’s Great Lakes Region," HiCN Working Papers 300, Households in Conflict Network.
  42. Josephson, Anna & Michler, Jeffrey D. & Kilic, Talip & Murray, Siobhan, 2026. "The mismeasure of weather: Using earth observation data for estimation of socioeconomic outcomes," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
  43. Nicolas Gatti & Kathy Baylis & Benjamin Crost, 2021. "Can Irrigation Infrastructure Mitigate the Effect of Rainfall Shocks on Conflict? Evidence from Indonesia," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(1), pages 211-231, January.
  44. Mohammad Reza Farzanegan & Sven Fischer, 2025. "The Effect of the “Woman Life Freedom†Protests on Life Satisfaction in Iran: Evidence from Survey Data," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202501, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  45. Jeffrey D. Michler & Dewan Abdullah Al Rafi & Jonathan Giezendanner & Anna Josephson & Valerien O. Pede & Elizabeth Tellman, 2024. "Impact Evaluations in Data Poor Settings: The Case of Stress-Tolerant Rice Varieties in Bangladesh," Papers 2409.02201, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
  46. Guido Cozzi & Noemi Mantovan & Robert M. Sauer, 2017. "Does it Pay to Work for Free? Negative Selection and the Wage Returns to Volunteer Experience," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(6), pages 1018-1045, December.
  47. Nicolas Berman & Mathieu Couttenier & Raphael Soubeyran, 2021. "Fertile Ground for Conflict," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(1), pages 82-127.
  48. Gatti, N. & Baylis, K. & Crost, B., 2018. "Does climate change cause conflict? Damned if you do, damned if you don’t," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 275936, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  49. Mounir Karadja & Erik Prawitz, 2019. "Exit, Voice, and Political Change: Evidence from Swedish Mass Migration to the United States," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 127(4), pages 1864-1925.
  50. Camille Laville & Pierre Mandon, 2025. "Internal conflicts and shocks: A narrative meta-analysis," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(4), pages 1159-1175, July.
  51. Allen Hardiman, 2025. "The Impact of Rainfall‐Induced Income Shocks on Crime: Evidence From Indonesia," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 1104-1115, July.
  52. Breckner, Miriam & Sunde, Uwe, 2019. "Temperature extremes, global warming, and armed conflict: new insights from high resolution data," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 1-1.
  53. Etienne Inedit Blaise Tsomb Tsomb & Mermoz Homer III Nsoga Nsoga & Cyrille Dominick Bitting, 2024. "Climate change vulnerability and conflicts in Africa: evidence from the migrations channel," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(7), pages 18811-18854, July.
  54. Wang, Dongqin & Wang-Lu, Huaxin, 2025. "Land expropriation, child schooling, and child housework: Evidence from China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
  55. Li, Xinrui & Yu, Chin-Hsien & Zhao, Jinsong & Shi, Yingyi, 2024. "Can climate finance mitigate the effect of climate change on conflict? The role of productivity," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343667, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  56. Mullins, Jamie T. & White, Corey, 2020. "Can access to health care mitigate the effects of temperature on mortality?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
  57. Ang, James B. & Gupta, Satyendra Kumar, 2018. "Agricultural yield and conflict," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 397-417.
  58. Sundar Ponnusamy, 2022. "Rainfall shocks, child mortality, and water infrastructure," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1317-1338, July.
  59. Khan,Amjad Muhammad & Rodella,Aude-Sophie, 2021. "A Hard Rain's a-Gonna Fall? : New Insights on Water Security and Fragility in the Sahel," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9805, The World Bank.
  60. Brunnschweiler Christa N. & Lujala Päivi, 2017. "Income and Armed Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 23(4), pages 1-7, December.
  61. Lucia Corno & Nicole Hildebrandt & Alessandra Voena, 2020. "Age of Marriage, Weather Shocks, and the Direction of Marriage Payments," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(3), pages 879-915, May.
  62. Ben Brunckhorst, 2020. "Rural Mobility and Climate Vulnerability: Evidence from the 2015 Drought in Ethiopia," CSAE Working Paper Series 2020-17, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  63. Hannes Mueller, 2016. "Growth and Violence: Argument for a Per Capita Measure of Civil War," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 83(331), pages 473-497, July.
  64. Sébastien Mary & Avraham Stoler, 2021. "Does agricultural trade liberalization increase obesity in developing countries?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 1326-1350, August.
  65. repec:ags:aaea22:343667 is not listed on IDEAS
  66. Fontes, Francisco & Gorst, Ashley & Palmer, Charles, 2020. "Does choice of drought index influence estimates of drought-induced rice losses in India?," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(5), pages 459-481, October.
  67. Fabien Candau & Tchapo Gbandi & Geoffroy Guepie, 2022. "Beyond the income effect of international trade on ethnic wars in Africa," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(3), pages 517-534, July.
  68. Solomon Hsiang & Paulina Oliva & Reed Walker, 2019. "The Distribution of Environmental Damages," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 13(1), pages 83-103.
  69. Kostadis J. Papaioannou, 2017. "“Hunger makes a thief of any man”: Poverty and crime in British colonial Asia," European Review of Economic History, European Historical Economics Society, vol. 21(1), pages 1-28.
  70. Camille Laville, 2018. "The econometrical causal analysis of internal conflicts: The evolutions of a growing literature [L’analyse économétrique des conflits internes par l’approche causale : les évolutions d’une littérature en expansion]," Working Papers hal-01940461, HAL.
  71. Song, Chun & Scognamillo, Antonio & Ignaciuk, Adriana, 2022. "A Matter of Place: Spatial Heterogeneity and the Effect of Market Price on the Drought- Conflict Nexus in Somalia," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322297, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  72. Haichao Yu & Shangze Dai & Haiqian Ke, 2024. "Industrial collaborative agglomeration and green economic efficiency—Based on the intermediary effect of technical change," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(2), June.
  73. Francisco Pereira Fontes, Ashley Gorst, Charles Palmer, 2017. "Does choice of drought index influence estimates of drought-induced cereal losses in India?," GRI Working Papers 274, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
  74. Bhavnani, Rikhil R. & Lacina, Bethany, 2017. "Fiscal Federalism at Work? Central Responses to Internal Migration in India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 236-248.
  75. Gabriel Aboyadana & Marco Alfano, 2021. "Perceived Temperature, Trust and Civil Unrest in Africa," HiCN Working Papers 344, Households in Conflict Network.
  76. MAMOUDOU Ba & Mazhar Mughal, 2022. "Weather Shocks, Coping Strategies and Household Well-being: Evidence from Rural Mauritania," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(3), pages 482-502, March.
  77. Huntington-Klein Nick, 2020. "Instruments with Heterogeneous Effects: Bias, Monotonicity, and Localness," Journal of Causal Inference, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 182-208, January.
  78. Mary, Sébastien, "undated". "Does Agricultural (Food) Trade Openness Reduce Child Stunting?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274282, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  79. Mathieu Couttenier & Jeremy Laurent-Lucchetti & Lore Vandewalle, 2023. "Inequality and Social Unrest in India," IHEID Working Papers 08-2023, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
  80. Elliott, Robert J.R. & Nguyen-Tien, Viet & Strobl, Eric A., 2021. "Power outages and firm performance: A hydro-IV approach for a single electricity grid," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  81. Sardoschau, Sulin & Casanueva, Annalí, 2024. "Public Signal and Private Action: Right-wing Protest and Hate Crimes against Refugees," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302408, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  82. David Ubilava, 2026. "Climate, crops, and postharvest conflict," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 108(1), pages 3-27, January.
  83. Mary, Sebastien, 2022. "Dams mitigate the effect of rainfall shocks on Hindus-Muslims riots," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  84. Huntington-Klein Nick, 2020. "Instruments with Heterogeneous Effects: Bias, Monotonicity, and Localness," Journal of Causal Inference, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 182-208, January.
  85. Takeshima, Hiroyuki & Adeoti, Adetola & Popoola, Oluwafemi Adebola, "undated". "The Impact On Farm Household Welfare Of Large Irrigation Dams And Their Distribution Across Hydrological Basins: Insights From Northern Nigeria," Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy Research Papers 259574, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics, Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security (FSP).
  86. Mary, Sebastien J. & Stoler, Avraham & Shafiq, Sarah & Craven, Kyle, 2023. "Dams of Malaria," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335448, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  87. Wu, Mingyu & Guo, Xuesong & Zhao, Yu, 2025. "Cascading social risks: A cross-spatial vulnerability analysis of atypical power system failures in China," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
  88. Qin, Xiaodi & Sun, Huichun & Wu, Haitao, 2025. "Wealth-based common prosperity and household CO2: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  89. Eric Akobeng, 2017. "The Invisible Hand of Rain in Spending: Effect of Rainfall-Driven Agricultural Income on Per Capita Expenditure in Ghana," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 85(1), pages 98-122, March.
  90. Guimbeau, Amanda & Ji, Xinde James & Menon, Nidhiya, 2024. "Climate Shocks, Intimate Partner Violence, and the Protective Role of Climate-Resilience Projects," IZA Discussion Papers 17529, IZA Network @ LISER.
  91. Fetzer, Thiemo, 2019. "Can Workfare Programs Moderate Conflict? Evidence from India," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1220, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
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