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Routinization, within-occupation task changes and long-run employment dynamics

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  • Davide Consoli

    (INGENIO - Instituto de Gestión de la Innovación y del Conocimiento = Institute of Innovation and Knowledge Management - CSIC - Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas [España] = Spanish National Research Council [Spain] - UPV - Universitat Politècnica de València = Universitad Politecnica de Valencia = Polytechnic University of Valencia)

  • Giovanni Marin

    (Università degli Studi di Urbino 'Carlo Bo')

  • Francesco Rentocchini
  • Francesco Vona

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

This study contributes to the literature on routinization and employment by capturing within- occupation task changes over the period 1980-2010. The main contribution is the measurement of such changes combining two data sources on occupational task content for the United States: the Dictionary of Occupational Titles and the Occupational Information Network. We show that within-occupation task change: i) accounts for 1/3 of the decline in routine-task use; ii) accelerates in the 1990s, decelerates in the 2000s but with significant catching-up; iii) is associated with educational upgrading in several dimensions and iv) allows escaping the employment decline conditional on initial routine-task intensity.

Suggested Citation

  • Davide Consoli & Giovanni Marin & Francesco Rentocchini & Francesco Vona, 2019. "Routinization, within-occupation task changes and long-run employment dynamics," Working Papers hal-03403229, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03403229
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03403229
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    5. Florent Bordot & André Lorentz, 2021. "Automation and labor market polarization in an evolutionary model with heterogeneous workers," Working Papers of BETA 2021-39, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tasks; Routinization; Technological change; Employment dynamics; Race between technology and education;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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