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Routinizaton, within-occupation task changes and long-run employment dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Davide Consoli

    (INGENIO (CSIC-UPV))

  • Giovanni Marin

    (Department of Economic, Society and Politics, University of Urbino Carlo Bo, Italy)

  • Francesco Rentocchini

    (Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods, University of Milan, Italy, and Southampton Business School, University of Southampton, UK)

  • Francesco Vona

    (Sciences Po, OFCE and SKEMA Business School, Université Côte d'Azur)

Abstract

This study contributes to the literature on routinization and employment by capturing within- occupation task changes over the period 1980-2010. The main contribution is the measurement of such changes combining two data sources on occupational task content for the United States: the Dictionary of Occupational Titles and the Occupational Information Network. We show that within-occupation task change: i) accounts for 1/3 of the decline in routine-task use; ii) accelerates in the 1990s, decelerates in the 2000s but with significant catching-up; iii) is associated with educational upgrading in several dimensions and iv) allows escaping the employment decline conditional on initial routine-task intensity.

Suggested Citation

  • Davide Consoli & Giovanni Marin & Francesco Rentocchini & Francesco Vona, 2019. "Routinizaton, within-occupation task changes and long-run employment dynamics," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-08, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    • Handle: RePEc:fce:doctra:1908
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    Cited by:

    1. Christina Gathmann & Felix Grimm & Erwin Winkler, 2024. "AI, Task Changes in Jobs, and Worker Reallocation," CESifo Working Paper Series 11585, CESifo.
    2. Marco Capasso & Michael Spjelkavik Mark, 2019. "Visualizing the Evolving Fit of Education and Economy: The Case of ICT Education in Norway," LEM Papers Series 2019/40, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    3. Marin, Giovanni & Vona, Francesco, 2023. "Finance and the reallocation of scientific, engineering and mathematical talent," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(5).
    4. Engberg, Erik & Koch, Michael & Lodefalk, Magnus & Schroeder, Sarah, 2025. "Artificial intelligence, tasks, skills, and wages: Worker-level evidence from Germany," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(8).
    5. Caselli, Mauro & Fracasso, Andrea & Scicchitano, Sergio & Traverso, Silvio & Tundis, Enrico, 2025. "What workers and robots do: An activity-based analysis of the impact of robotization on changes in local employment," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(1).
    6. Emilio Colombo & Fabio Mercorio & Mario Mezzanzanica & Antonio Serino, 2024. "Towards the Terminator Economy: Assessing Job Exposure to AI through LLMs," DISEIS - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo dis2401, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo (DISEIS).
    7. Marco Capasso & Michael Spjelkavik Mark, 2021. "The Evolving Economic Employment of ICT Education: The Case of Norway," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-18, July.
    8. Florent Bordot & Andre Lorentz, 2021. "Automation and labor market polarization in an evolutionary model with heterogeneous workers," LEM Papers Series 2021/32, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    9. Wang, Linhui & Zhou, Huilin & Wan, Guanghua, 2025. "The impact of robots on unemployment duration: Evidence from the Chinese General Social Survey," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    10. Mauro Caselli & Edwin Fourrier-Nicolai & Andrea Fracasso & Sergio Scicchitano, 2024. "Digital Technologies and Firms’ Employment and Training," CESifo Working Paper Series 11056, CESifo.
    11. Delaporte, Isaure & Peña, Werner, 2025. "The dynamics of disappearing routine jobs in Chile: An analysis of the link between deroutinisation and informality," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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