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Determinants of Mexico-US outwards and return migration flows: A state-level panel data analysis

Listed author(s):
  • Isabelle Chort

    (LEDa - Laboratoire d'Economie de Dauphine - Université Paris-Dauphine)

  • Maëlys De La Rupelle

    (THEMA - Théorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications - Université de Cergy Pontoise)

In this paper, we investigate the determinants of the regional patterns of Mexico-US migration flows.Along with traditional economic determinants, we examine the role played by environmental factorsand violence in Mexico in determining migration patterns and their evolutions. We estimate a microgroundedgravity model of migration using a panel dataset of state-to-state emigration and returnmigration flows between Mexico and the US for the period 1995-2012. We exploit the time anddyadic dimension of the data to control for time-invariant and time-variant characteristics ofdestination states, including migration policies. Our results suggest that along with the traditionaleconomic determinants of migration, climatic and social factors contribute to shaping regionalmigration patterns.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series Working Papers with number hal-01516057.

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Date of creation: 28 Apr 2017
Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01516057
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