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Market integration and price transmission in Tajikistan’s wheat markets: Rising like rockets but falling like feathers?

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  • Ilyasov, Jarilkasin
  • Götz, Linde
  • Akramov, Kamiljon T.
  • Dorosh, Paul A.
  • Glauben, Thomas

Abstract

The extent of market integration and transmission of food price shocks is a major determinant of price stability and overall food security, particularly in developing countries. Few studies have examined these issues for countries in Central Asia, however. This paper aims to fill this gap by examining wheat market integration and price transmission in Tajikistan, the most food-insecure country in Central Asia. In particular, in this study we measure how well wheat market prices in Tajikistan are integrated with international and regional markets, as well as domestically with each other. Subsequently, we assess the nature of price transmission between these markets. Using horizontal price transmission analysis and asymmetric price relationships, a.k.a. rockets and feathers, we demonstrate how prices change in peripheral food-shortage markets compared to markets located in zones with abundant local production.

Suggested Citation

  • Ilyasov, Jarilkasin & Götz, Linde & Akramov, Kamiljon T. & Dorosh, Paul A. & Glauben, Thomas, 2016. "Market integration and price transmission in Tajikistan’s wheat markets: Rising like rockets but falling like feathers?," IFPRI discussion papers 1547, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    • Handle: RePEc:fpr:ifprid:1547
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    Cited by:

    1. Miranda Svanidze & Linde Götz & Ivan Djuric & Thomas Glauben, 2019. "Food security and the functioning of wheat markets in Eurasia: a comparative price transmission analysis for the countries of Central Asia and the South Caucasus," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 11(3), pages 733-752, June.
    2. Abdulmajid Bobokhonov & Jan Pokrivcak & Miroslava Rajcaniova, 2017. "The impact of agricultural and trade policies on price transmission: The case of Tajikistan and Uzbekistan," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(6), pages 677-692, August.
    3. repec:zbw:iamodp:285032 is not listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    market prices; food policies; commodities; agricultural policies; price formation; markets; market access; food security; wheat; prices; Tajikistan; Central Asia; Asia;
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