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Market Integration and Price Transmission in the World Rice Export Markets

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  • Chen, Bo
  • Saghaian, Sayed H.

Abstract

This paper investigates market integration and asymmetric price transmission in the world rice export markets. Using monthly rice prices from Thailand, Vietnam, and United States, we employ the Johansen test and estimate the threshold vector error correction model (TVECM). Our main findings are that export prices in the three countries are cointegrated, with Thailand and the United States the price leaders, and that the Vietnamese price adjusts faster to long-run equilibrium when it is above its equilibrium level with Thai and U.S. prices. These results suggest market integration and competition rather than collusion are prevalent in world rice markets. Policy implications are also briefly discussed.
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Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Bo & Saghaian, Sayed H., 2016. "Market Integration and Price Transmission in the World Rice Export Markets," 2016 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2016, San Antonio, Texas 229993, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:saea16:229993
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.229993
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    Cited by:

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    4. Gbadebo A. Oladosu & Keith L. Kline & Johannes W. A. Langeveld, 2021. "Structural Break and Causal Analyses of U.S. Corn Use for Ethanol and Other Corn Market Variables," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-15, March.
    5. Bairagi, S. & Mohanty, S., 2018. "Analysis of Price Transmission along the Cambodian Rice Value Chain," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277022, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Ramsey, A. Ford & Ghosh, Sujit K., 2025. "Bayesian Additive Regression Tree (BART) Models of Market Integration in the 19th-Century Trans-Atlantic Wheat Trade," 2025 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2025, Denver, CO 361103, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Antonioli, Federico & Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano, 2022. "On Policy Interventions and Vertical Price Transmission: The Italian Milk Supply Chain Case," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 47(2), May.
    8. Harold Glenn A. Valera & Mark J. Holmes & Valerien O. Pede & Jean Balié, 2023. "How convergent are rice export prices in the international market?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(1), pages 127-141, January.
    9. Seok, Jun Ho & Kim, GwanSeon & Reed, Michael R. & Kim, Soo-Eun, 2018. "The impact of avian influenza on the Korean egg market: Who benefited?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 151-165.
    10. A. Ford Ramsey & Barry K. Goodwin & William F. Hahn & Matthew T. Holt, 2021. "Impacts of COVID‐19 and Price Transmission in U.S. Meat Markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(3), pages 441-458, May.

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