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Vertical price transmission in timber and lumber markets

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  • Ning, Zhuo
  • Sun, Changyou

Abstract

Timber and lumber markets are linked and integrated through prices at several stages along timber supply chain. In this study, the degree of vertical integration and the presence of asymmetric price transmission are investigated for sawtimber and lumber products in the southern and western United States. The data utilized are quarterly stumpage price, delivered timber price, and lumber price of softwood between 1977 and 2011. Linear and threshold cointegration models are used for long-term price analyses, and symmetric and asymmetric error correction models are used for short-term price analyses. The integration in the early stage (i.e., stumpage/delivered timber price pair) is found to be stronger than that in the latter stage (i.e., delivered/lumber price pair). The South shows slightly stronger market cointegration than the West. Asymmetric price transmission is found along the timber supply chain. In the long term, prices are more responsive when the price margin is increased than decreased.

Suggested Citation

  • Ning, Zhuo & Sun, Changyou, 2014. "Vertical price transmission in timber and lumber markets," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 17-32.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:foreco:v:20:y:2014:i:1:p:17-32
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfe.2013.07.002
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    Cited by:

    1. Fuhrmann, Marilene & Dißauer, Christa & Strasser, Christoph & Schmid, Erwin, 2021. "Analysing price cointegration of sawmill by-products in the forest-based sector in Austria," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    2. Kanieski da Silva, Bruno & Schons, Stella Z. & Cubbage, Frederick W. & Parajuli, Rajan, 2020. "Spatial and cross-product price linkages in the Brazilian pine timber markets," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    3. Baoubadi Atozou & Koffi Akakpo, 2017. "Dynamic and Volatility of World Agricultural Market Prices: Impacts on Importations and Food Security in WAEMU," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(12), pages 180-194, December.
    4. Asada, Raphael & Hurmekoski, Elias & Hoeben, Annechien Dirkje & Patacca, Marco & Stern, Tobias & Toppinen, Anne, 2023. "Resilient forest-based value chains? Econometric analysis of roundwood prices in five European countries in the era of natural disturbances," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    5. Kharin, S., 2018. "Price Transmission Analysis: the Case of Milk Products in Russia," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 10(1).
    6. Korhonen, Jaana & Henderson, Jesse D. & Prestemon, Jeffrey, 2023. "National forest timber bids and export price interlinkages in the USA: The bounds testing approach," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymmetric price transmission; Error correction model; Market integration; Threshold cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • Q23 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Forestry

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