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External and Public Debt Crises

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  • Cristina Arellano
  • Andrew Atkeson
  • Mark L. J. Wright

Abstract

The recent debt crises in Europe and the U.S. states feature similar sharp increases in spreads on government debt but also show important differences. In Europe, the crisis occurred at high government indebtedness levels and had spillovers to the private sector. In the United States, state government indebtedness was low, and the crisis had no spillovers to the private sector. We show theoretically and empirically that these different debt experiences result from the interplay between differences in the ability of governments to interfere in private external debt contracts and differences in the flexibility of state fiscal institutions.

Suggested Citation

  • Cristina Arellano & Andrew Atkeson & Mark L. J. Wright, 2015. "External and Public Debt Crises," Staff Report 515, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedmsr:515
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    Cited by:

    1. Barry Eichengreen, 2018. "Deflation and monetary policy," Chapters, in: Dongchul Cho & Takatoshi Ito & Andrew Mason (ed.), Economic Stagnation in Japan, chapter 9, pages 183-201, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Ernesto Longobardi & Antonio Pedone, 2018. "On some recent proposals of public debt restructuring in the Eurozone," Chapters, in: Giuseppe Eusepi & Richard E. Wagner (ed.), Debt Default and Democracy, chapter 6, pages 84-123, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Dumitriu, Ramona & Stefanescu, Răzvan, 2020. "Iluzii financiare, Partea întâi [Financial Illusions, Part 1]," MPRA Paper 101201, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Jun 2020.
    4. Kaas, Leo & Mellert, Jan & Scholl, Almuth, 2020. "Sovereign and private default risks over the business cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    5. Lazopoulos, Ioannis & Gabriel, Vasco, 2019. "Policy mandates and institutional architecture," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 122-134.
    6. Ricardo Reis, 2015. "Comment on "External and Public Debt Crises"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015, Volume 30, pages 245-256, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Tryphon Kollintzas & Dimitris Papageorgiou & Efthymios Tsionas & Vanghelis Vassilatos, 2018. "Market and political power interactions in Greece: an empirical investigation," IZA Journal of Labor Policy, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 7(1), pages 1-43, December.
    8. repec:agr:journl:v:4(605):y:2015:i:4(605):p:189-198 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Bocola, Luigi & Bornstein, Gideon & Dovis, Alessandro, 2019. "Quantitative sovereign default models and the European debt crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 20-30.
    10. Walid BENAYED & Foued Badr GABSI & Samia OMRANE BELGUITH, 2015. "Threshold Effect of Public Debt on Domestic Investment: Evidence from Selected African Countries," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(4(605), W), pages 189-198, Winter.
    11. Qaiser Munir & Sook Ching Kok & Winnie Abdulnasir, 2016. "Public debt sustainability and economic growth in Malaysia: Threshold and causality analysis," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 5306868, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    12. Phu Nguyen-Van & Florian Grosset & Roberto Martino, 2015. "Critères de convergence, déréglementation du marché du travail et performance économique des régions européennes," Bulletin de l'Observatoire des politiques économiques en Europe, Observatoire des Politiques Économiques en Europe (OPEE), vol. 33(1), pages 3-6, December.
    13. Harinder S. Kohli (ed.), 2016. "The World in 2050: Striving for a More Just, Prosperous, and Harmonious Global Community," Books, Emerging Markets Forum, edition 1, number world2050, July-Dece.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tax flexibility; Sudden stops; Debt crises; Interference with private contracts;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • K1 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law
    • H7 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations

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