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The Effects of Domestic Rice Market Interventions Outside Business-As-Usual Conditions For Imported Rice Prices

Author

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  • M.J. Mariano
  • J.A. Giesecke
  • N.H. Tran

Abstract

The Philippine government intervenes in the domestic rice market through the imposition of import tariffs and the provision of producer and consumer subsidies. While policy makers are aware that these programs come with allocative efficiency costs, they justify the programs on the grounds that they insulate the domestic economy from unexpected price spikes in the international rice market. An interesting matter for policy evaluation is to quantify the insulation benefit that the programs provide in circumstances of sudden severe import price spikes. To examine this question, we undertake a dynamic CGE simulation in which the Philippines is subject to an external rice price shock. We find that the insulation benefit of the support programs under a 2008-like event is worth approximately 0.10 per cent of real consumption. However the cost of insuring against these price spikes is significant. We estimate the annual cost of the rice market interventions at approximately 0.40 per cent of real consumption.

Suggested Citation

  • M.J. Mariano & J.A. Giesecke & N.H. Tran, 2014. "The Effects of Domestic Rice Market Interventions Outside Business-As-Usual Conditions For Imported Rice Prices," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-245, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-245
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dixon, Peter & Rimmer, Maureen & Chadha, Rajesh & Pratap, Devender & Tandon, Anjali, 2015. "A CGE model for India with an application on the effects of eliminating agricultural subsidies," Conference papers 332661, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    2. Peter B. Dixon & Maureen T. Rimmer & Rajesh Chadha & Devender Pratap & Anjali Tandon, 2016. "A CGE model for India with an application on the effects of eliminating agricultural subsidies," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-265, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    3. Marc Jim M. Mariano & James A. Giesecke, 2016. "Forecasting development outcomes under alternative surplus labour assumptions," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(42), pages 4019-4032, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Food security; food subsidies; rice tariff; rice market; price insulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation

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