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Un Exámen Empírico de la Curva de Phillips en Colombia

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  • Enrique López
  • Martha Misas

Abstract

En este artículo se propone una reflexión empírica: examinar los resultados de la estimación y la capacidad de previsión de diferentes versiones de una curva de Phillips lineal para Colombia. Se hace, igualmente, una selección de los mejores modelos. La estimación por mínimos cuadrados se hace sobre una formación uniecuacional que relaciona el incremento en precios con la brecha de producto (GAP). De esta última variable existen cuatro mediciones construidas con metodologías diferentes: Hodrick-Prescott.
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Suggested Citation

  • Enrique López & Martha Misas, 1999. "Un Exámen Empírico de la Curva de Phillips en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 117, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:117
    DOI: 10.32468/be.117
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Luis Fernando Melo & Martha Misas, 1998. "Análisis del comportamiento de la inflación trimestral en Colombia bajo cambios de régimen: Una evidencia a través del modelo "Switching" de Hamilton," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, November.
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    13. Martha Misas & Enrique López, 1999. "El producto potencial en Colombia: una estimación bajo var estructural," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Martha Misas Arango & Enrique López Enciso & Pablo Querubín Borrero, 2002. "La inflación en Colombia: una aproximación desde las redes neuronales," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 20(41-42), pages 143-214, June.
    2. Miguel Urrutia, 2002. "UNA VISION ALTERNATIVA: La Política Monetaria y Cambiaria en la Ültima Década," Borradores de Economia 207, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Martha Misas & Enrique López, 2000. "La Utilización De La Capacidad Instalada De La Industria En Colombia: Un Nuevo Enfoque," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 18(38), pages 5-44, December.
    4. Luis Fernando Melo & Martha Misas A., 2004. "Modelos Estructurales de Inflación en Colombia: Estimación a Través de Mínimos Cuadrados Flexibles," Borradores de Economia 283, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Javier Gómez & Juan Manuel Julio, 2000. "An Estimation of the Nonlinear Philips Curve in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1975, Banco de la Republica.
    6. Martha Misas A. & Enrique López E. & Luis Fernando Melo V., 1999. "La inflación desde una perspectiva monetaria: un modelo P* para Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 0(35), pages 5-53, June.
    7. Jesús Antonio Bejarano Rojas, 2005. "Estimación estructural y análisis de la curva de Phillips neokeynesiana para Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 23(48), pages 64-117, Junio.
    8. Jesus Otero & Manuel Ramirez, 2002. "On the determinants of the inflation rate in Colombia: a disequilibrium market approach," Borradores de Investigación 3296, Universidad del Rosario.
    9. Eliana González Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velnadia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007. "Pronósticos directos de la inflación colombiana," Borradores de Economia 4247, Banco de la Republica.
    10. José Luis Torres, 2006. "Modelos Para La Inflación Básica de Bienes Transables y No Transables en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 365, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    11. Martha Misas A & Enrique López E, 2001. "Desequilibrios Reales En Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 19(40), pages 5-45, December.
    12. Rodrigo Avella, 2001. "Efecto de las Sequías Sobre la Inflación en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 183, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    13. Ricardo Bonilla González & Jorge Iván González, 2006. "Bien-estar y macroeconomía 2002-2006: el crecimiento inequitativo no es sostenible," Publicaciones, CID 2064, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
    14. Nelson Eduardo Barreto & Mauricio Caicedo, 2011. "Estimación de la curva de Phillips para Colombia, periodo mensual 2001 - 2007," Documentos de Investigación 8212, Universidad de los Llanos.
    15. Lina María Vásquez & Luis Edgar Basto, 2004. "Balance estructural, dinámica y volatilidad de la deuda," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 22(46-1), pages 26-81, December.
    16. Javier Gómez & José Darío Uribe & Hernando Vargas, 2002. "The Implementation Of Inflation Targeting In Colombia," Borradores de Economia 3603, Banco de la Republica.
    17. Julio César Alonso & Andrés Mauricio Arcila, 2011. "Sciplore Mindmapping: Una forma fácil de organizar una revisión bibliográfica," Apuntes de Economía 9104, Universidad Icesi.
    18. Mario Nigrinis Ospina, 2004. "Es lineal la Curva de Phillips en Colombia?," Borradores de Economia 282, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    19. Nelson Manolo Chávez Munoz, 2010. "Inflación y crecimiento económico: determinantes del desempleo en Colombia," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 2(1), pages 29-52, July.
    20. Héctor Mauricio Nunez Amortegui, 2005. "Una evaluación de los pronósticos de inflación en Colombia bajo el esquema de inflación objetivo," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, December.

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