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La Inflación En Colombia: Una Aproximación Desde Las Redes Neuronales

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  • MARTHA MISAS ARANGO

    ()

  • ENRIQUE LÓPEZ ENCISO
  • PABLO QUERUBÍN

Abstract

Este documento presenta un modelo de estimación de la inflación en Colombia con base en la utilización de un modelo de la red neuronal artificial (ANN). La prueba de no-linealidad de la relación entre el dinero y la inflación, al igual que diferentes argumentos teóricos mencionados en el trabajo, muestra la importancia de modelar la inflación con técnicas no lineales como las redes neuronales.

Suggested Citation

  • Martha Misas Arango & Enrique López Enciso & Pablo Querubín, 2002. "La Inflación En Colombia: Una Aproximación Desde Las Redes Neuronales," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE, vol. 20(41-42), pages 143-214, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:005350
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. José Luis Torres, 2006. "Modelos para la Inflación Básica de Bienes Transables y No Transables en Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003246, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    2. Luis Fernando Melo & Rubén Albeiro Loaiza Maya, 2012. "Bayesian Forecast Combination for Inflation Using Rolling Windows: An Emerging Country Case," Borradores de Economia 705, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Eliana González Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velnadia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007. "Pronósticos directos de la inflación colombiana," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 004247, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    4. Martha Alicia Misasarango & Enrique Antonio Lopezenciso & Carlos Arango & Juan Nicolashernandez, 2004. "No-Linealidades En La Demanada De Efectivo En Colombia: Las Redes Neuronales Como Herramienta De Pronostico," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE, vol. 22(45), pages 10-57, June.
    5. Melo, Luis F. & Loaiza, Rubén A. & Villamizar-Villegas, Mauricio, 2016. "Bayesian combination for inflation forecasts: The effects of a prior based on central banks’ estimates," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 387-397.
    6. José Mauricio Salazar Sáenz, 2009. "Evaluación de pronóstico de una red neuronal sobre el PIB en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 575, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    7. Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Martha Alicia Misas Arango, 2004. "Modelos Estructurales de Inflación en Colombia: Estimación a través de Mínimos Cuadrados Flexibles," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003244, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    8. José Mauricio Salazar Sáenz, 2009. "Evaluación de pronóstico de una red neuronal sobre el PIB en Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 005934, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    9. Ignacio Lozano, 2009. "Budget Deficit, Money Growth and Inflation: Evidence from the Colombian case," Money Affairs, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, vol. 0(1), pages 65-95, January-J.
    10. Héctor Mauricio Nuñez Amortegui, 2005. "Una evaluación de los pronósticos de inflación en Colombia bajo el esquema de inflación objetivo," REVISTA DE ECONOMÍA DEL ROSARIO, UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO, December.
    11. Carlos A. Arango A. & Martha Misas A. & Juan Nicolás Hernández, 2004. "La Demanda de Especies Monetarias en Colombia: Estructura y Pronóstico," Borradores de Economia 309, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    12. Norberto Rodríguez N. & Patricia Siado C., 2003. "Un Pronóstico no Paramétrico de la Inflación Colombiana," Borradores de Economia 248, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    13. María Clara Aristizábal Restrepo, 2006. "Evaluación asimétrica de una red neuronal artificial:Aplicación al caso de la inflación en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 377, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    14. repec:bdr:ensayo:v::y:2004:i:45:p:10-57 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • J30 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - General

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