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The synchronization of GDP growth in the G7 during US recessions


  • Nikolaos Antonakakis
  • Johann Scharler


Using the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model due to Engle (2002), we estimate time-varying correlations of quarterly real GDP growth among the G7 countries. In general, we find that rather heterogeneous patterns of international synchronization exist during US recessions. During the 2007--2009 recession, however, international co-movement increased substantially.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikolaos Antonakakis & Johann Scharler, 2012. "The synchronization of GDP growth in the G7 during US recessions," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 7-11, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:7-11 DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564126

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Antonakakis, Nikolaos, 2012. "The great synchronization of international trade collapse," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 608-614.
    2. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Harald Badinger, 2012. "Output Volatility, Economic Growth, and Cross-Country Spillovers: New Evidence for the G7 Countries," FIW Working Paper series 098, FIW.
    3. Trancoso, Tiago, 2014. "Emerging markets in the global economic network: Real(ly) decoupling?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 395(C), pages 499-510.
    4. Tiago Trancoso, 2013. "Global macroeconomic interdependence: a minimum spanning tree approach," Review of Applied Socio-Economic Research, Pro Global Science Association, vol. 5(1), pages 179-189, June.
    5. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Vergos, Konstantinos, 2013. "Sovereign bond yield spillovers in the Euro zone during the financial and debt crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 258-272.
    6. Antonakakis, Nikolaos, 2012. "Business cycle synchronization during US recessions since the beginning of the 1870s," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(2), pages 467-472.
    7. Antonakakis, N. & Badinger, H., 2016. "Economic growth, volatility, and cross-country spillovers: New evidence for the G7 countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 352-365.
    8. Matesanz, David & Ortega, Guillermo J., 2016. "On business cycles synchronization in Europe: A note on network analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 287-296.

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