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The information sensitivity of debt in good and bad times

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  • Brancati, Emanuele
  • Macchiavelli, Marco

Abstract

We empirically show the dynamics of information production and information sensitivity of bank debt around the Great Recession. As more precise information is produced at the onset of the crisis, bank debt becomes informationally sensitive, along two separate dimensions. First, precise information amplifies the effect of market expectations on default risk; second, for banks that are already expected to perform poorly, more precise information further increases default risk. Both effects are muted in good times. Overall, our findings are consistent with information-based models of financial crises.

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  • Brancati, Emanuele & Macchiavelli, Marco, 2019. "The information sensitivity of debt in good and bad times," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 99-112.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:133:y:2019:i:1:p:99-112
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.01.002
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    3. Robert F. Bruner & Scott C. Miller, 2019. "The Great Crash of 1929: A Look Back After 90 Years," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 31(4), pages 43-58, December.
    4. David Cashin & Erin E. Syron Ferris & Elizabeth Klee, 2023. "Treasury Safety, Liquidity, and Money Premium Dynamics: Evidence from Debt Limit Impasses," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(6), pages 1475-1506, September.
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    7. Anderson, Haelim & Copeland, Adam, 2023. "Information management in times of crisis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 35-49.
    8. Gang Bai & Chunhui Chen, 2023. "Managing Information Sensitivity: The Relationship between the Interbank Offered Rate and the Characteristics of Bank-Issued Wealth Management Products in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-19, January.
    9. Blanco, Iván & García, Sergio J., 2021. "Options trading and the cost of debt," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    10. David B. Cashin & Erin E. Syron Ferris & Elizabeth C. Klee, 2020. "Treasury Safety, Liquidity, and Money Premium Dynamics: Evidence from Recent Debt Limit Impasses," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-008, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Edoardo Martino, 2022. "Getting bank governance right," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(3), pages 302-321, September.
    12. Brancati, Emanuele & Brancati, Raffaele, 2020. "Heterogeneous Shocks in the Covid-19 Pandemic: Panel Evidence from Italian Firms," GLO Discussion Paper Series 649, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    13. Kim Ristolainen, 2022. "Narrative Triggers of Information Sensitivity," Discussion Papers 156, Aboa Centre for Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial crisis; CDS spreads; Information sensitivity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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