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Adverse Selection Dynamics in Privately Produced Safe Debt Markets

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  • Nathan Foley-Fisher
  • Gary Gorton
  • Stéphane Verani

Abstract

Privately produced safe debt is designed so that there is no adverse selection in trade. But in some macro states—here, the onset of the pandemic—it becomes profitable for some agents to produce private information, and then agents face adverse selection when they trade the debt (i.e., it becomes information sensitive). We empirically study these adverse selection dynamics in a very important asset class, collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), which finance loans to below-investment-grade firms. We decompose the bid-ask spreads on the AAA bonds of CLOs into a component reflecting dealer bank balance sheet costs and the adverse selection component.

Suggested Citation

  • Nathan Foley-Fisher & Gary Gorton & Stéphane Verani, 2024. "Adverse Selection Dynamics in Privately Produced Safe Debt Markets," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(1), pages 441-468, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejmac:v:16:y:2024:i:1:p:441-68
    DOI: 10.1257/mac.20210383
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    Cited by:

    1. Mahyar Kargar & Benjamin Lester & David Lindsay & Shuo Liu & Pierre-Olivier Weill & Diego Zúñiga, 2021. "Corporate Bond Liquidity during the COVID-19 Crisis [The day coronavirus nearly broke the financial markets]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5352-5401.
    2. Jin-Wook Chang & Matt Darst, 2022. "Moldy Lemons and Market Shutdowns," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-013, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Iorgova, Silvia & Ross, Chase P., 2023. "Investor information and bank instability during the European debt crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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