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Dynamic fuel price pass-through: Evidence from a new global retail fuel price database

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  • Kpodar, Kangni
  • Abdallah, Chadi

Abstract

We estimate the dynamic effects of crude oil price shocks on retail fuel prices, the pass-through, using the local projection approach of Jordà (2005). Using a novel monthly dataset of retail fuel prices in 162 countries over the period from 2000:1 to 2014:12, we find that: (i) retail gasoline prices respond positively to crude oil price shocks, but the responses vary across regions and income groups; (ii) there is also some variation across country groups in the persistence of the effects of crude oil price shocks on retail gasoline prices; and (iii) declines in crude oil prices lead to smaller effects on retail gasoline prices than increases in crude oil prices, pointing to an asymmetry in the fuel price pass-through.

Suggested Citation

  • Kpodar, Kangni & Abdallah, Chadi, 2017. "Dynamic fuel price pass-through: Evidence from a new global retail fuel price database," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 303-312.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:66:y:2017:i:c:p:303-312
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2017.06.017
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    Cited by:

    1. Kpodar, Kangni & Imam, Patrick Amir, 2021. "To pass (or not to pass) through international fuel price changes to domestic fuel prices in developing countries: What are the drivers?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    2. Mr. Kangni R Kpodar & Kodjovi M. Eklou & Ms. Stefania Fabrizio, 2019. "Export Competitiveness - Fuel Price Nexus in Developing Countries: Real or False Concern?," IMF Working Papers 2019/025, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Cecile Couharde & Sara Mouhoud, 2020. "Fossil Fuel Subsidies, Income Inequality, And Poverty: Evidence From Developing Countries," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(5), pages 981-1006, December.
    4. Ozgur, Onder & Aydin, Levent & Karagol, Erdal Tanas & Ozbugday, Fatih Cemil, 2021. "The fuel price pass-through in Turkey: The case study of motor fuel price subsidy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    5. Kangni Kpodar & Maëlan Le Goff & Singh Raju Jan, 2018. "Financial Deepening, Terms of Trade Shocks, and Growth Volatility in Low-Income Countries," Post-Print hal-01907579, HAL.
    6. Hamid Baghestani & Jorg Bley, 2020. "Do directional predictions of US gasoline prices reveal asymmetries?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(2), pages 348-360, April.
    7. Chang, Kai & Zhang, Chao, 2018. "Asymmetric dependence structure between emissions allowances and wholesale diesel/gasoline prices in emerging China's emissions trading scheme pilots," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 124-136.
    8. Kangni Kpodar & Maëlan Le Goff & Raju Jan Singh, 2019. "Financial Deepening, Terms of Trade Shocks and Growth in Low-Income Countries," Working papers 719, Banque de France.
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & David Roubaud & Ojonugwa Usman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate and Oil Price Pass-Through in BRICS Countries: Does the state of the economy matter?," Working Papers 15-49, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Retail fuel prices; Pass-through; Asymmetry;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L71 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies

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