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Export Competitiveness - Fuel Price Nexus in Developing Countries: Real or False Concern?

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  • Mr. Kangni R Kpodar
  • Kodjovi M. Eklou
  • Ms. Stefania Fabrizio

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of domestic fuel price increases on export growth in a sample of 77 developing countries over the period 2000-2014. Using a fixed-effect estimator and the local projection approach, we find that an increase in domestic gasoline or diesel price adversely affects real non-fuel export growth, but only in the short run as the impact phases out within two years after the shock. The results also suggest that the negative effect of fuel price increase on exports is mainly noticeable in countries with a high-energy dependency ratio and countries where access to an alternative source of energy, such as electricity, is constrained, thus preventing producers from altering energy consumption mix in response to fuel price changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Kangni R Kpodar & Kodjovi M. Eklou & Ms. Stefania Fabrizio, 2019. "Export Competitiveness - Fuel Price Nexus in Developing Countries: Real or False Concern?," IMF Working Papers 2019/025, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/025
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    Cited by:

    1. Carlo Andrea Bollino & Philipp Galkin, 2021. "Energy Security and Portfolio Diversification: Conventional and Novel Perspectives," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 14(14), pages 1-24, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; export growth; price shock; gasoline pump price; cross price elasticity; diesel pump price; energy price shock; fuel price hike; fuel price increase; input cost; price change; pump price; stabilization fund; Retail fuel prices; Fuel Subsidies; Developing countries; Fuel prices; Inflation; Export performance; Energy prices; Real exports; Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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