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Do Surges in International Capital Inflows Influence the Likelihood of Banking Crises?

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Fang, Hao & Chung, Chien-Ping & Lee, Yen-Hsien, 2025. "Moderating effect of credit growth for financial development on economic growth: Considering banking crises and endogeneity," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
  2. Ghosh, Atish R. & Ostry, Jonathan D. & Qureshi, Mahvash S., 2018. "Taming the Tide of Capital Flows: A Policy Guide," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262037165, December.
  3. Bove, Vincenzo & Platteau, Jean-Philippe & Sekeris, Petros G., 2017. "Political repression in autocratic regimes," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 410-428.
  4. Liu, Zheng & Spiegel, Mark M. & Zhang, Jingyi, 2023. "Capital flows and income inequality," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  5. repec:diw:diwwpp:dp1254 is not listed on IDEAS
  6. Benigno, Gianluca & Converse, Nathan & Fornaro, Luca, 2015. "Large capital inflows, sectoral allocation, and economic performance," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 60-87.
  7. Andrew Powell & Pilar Tavella, 2012. "Capital Inflow Surges in Emerging Economies: How Worried Should LAC Be?," Research Department Publications 4782, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  8. Davide Furceri & Stéphanie Guichard & Elena Rusticelli, 2011. "Episodes of Large Capital Inflows and the Likelihood of Banking and Currency Crises and Sudden Stops," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 865, OECD Publishing.
  9. Li, Xiang & Su, Dan, 2022. "Surges and instability: The maturity shortening channel," IWH Discussion Papers 23/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2022.
  10. Pedersoli, Silvia & Presbitero, Andrea F., 2023. "Public debt management and private financial development," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(1).
  11. Focacci, Antonio, 2017. "Controversial curves of the economy: An up-to-date investigation of long waves," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 271-285.
  12. Rogelio V. Mercado, 2018. "Not all surges of gross capital inflows are alike," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(2), pages 326-347, May.
  13. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Jia, Pengfei, 2020. "Capital controls and welfare with cross-border bank capital flows," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  14. Mercado, Rogelio, 2020. "Are capital inflows expansionary or contractionary in the Philippines?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  15. Giraldo, Carlos & Giraldo, Iader & Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M., 2023. "Banks' leverage in foreign exchange derivatives in times of crisis: A tale of two countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
  16. Yaser Al-Saffar & Wolfgang Ridinger & Simon Whitaker, 2015. "Financial Stability Paper No 24: The role of external balance sheets in the financial crisis," Bank of England Financial Stability Papers 24, Bank of England.
  17. Antoine GODIN & Emanuele CAMPIGLIO & Eric KEMP-BENEDICT, 2017. "Networks of stranded assets: A case for a balance sheet approach," Working Paper d51a41b5-00ba-40b4-abe6-5, Agence française de développement.
  18. Eberhardt, Markus, 2018. "(At Least) Four Theories for Sovereign Default," CEPR Discussion Papers 13084, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  19. Brandon Cunningham & Jacob LaRiviere & Casey J. Wichman, 2021. "Clustered into control: Heterogeneous causal impacts of water infrastructure failure," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(3), pages 1417-1439, July.
  20. Bordo, M.D. & Meissner, C.M., 2016. "Fiscal and Financial Crises," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 355-412, Elsevier.
  21. Peter Montiel, 2014. "Capital Flows: Issues and Policies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 595-633, July.
  22. Miguel Angel Saldarriaga, 2017. "Credit Booms in Commodity Exporters," Working Papers 98, Peruvian Economic Association.
  23. Mahir Binici & Aytül Ganioglu, 2021. "Net external position, financial development, and banking crisis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1225-1251, September.
  24. Peter Karlström, 2023. "Macroprudential Policy, Credit Booms, and Banks' Systemic Risk," CEMLA Working Paper Series 03/2023, CEMLA.
  25. Sigga Benediktsdottir & Soha Ahmed, 2023. "Interest Rate Normalization in a World with High Indebtedness," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 51(1), pages 39-63, March.
  26. Tanna, Sailesh & Luo, Yun & De Vita, Glauco, 2017. "What is the net effect of financial liberalization on bank productivity? A decomposition analysis of bank total factor productivity growth," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 67-78.
  27. Chung‐Hua Shen & Yen‐Hsien Lee & Hao Fang, 2020. "Predicting banking crises based on credit, housing and capital booms," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 472-505, December.
  28. Forbes, Kristin J. & Warnock, Francis E., 2012. "Capital flow waves: Surges, stops, flight, and retrenchment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 235-251.
  29. Dhar, Amrita, 2021. "Identification of Extreme Capital Flows in Emerging Markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 359-384.
  30. Julian Caballero, 2012. "Banking Crises and Financial Integration," Research Department Publications 4816, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  31. Christian Friedrich & Pierre Guérin, 2020. "The Dynamics of Capital Flow Episodes," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(5), pages 969-1003, August.
  32. Tomas Williams, 2018. "Capital Inflows, Sovereign Debt and Bank Lending: Micro-Evidence from an Emerging Market," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(12), pages 4958-4994.
  33. Julián Caballero & Andres Fernandez & Jongho Park, 2016. "On Corporate Borrowing, Credit Spreads and Economic Activity in Emerging Economies: An Empirical Investigation," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 95296, Inter-American Development Bank.
  34. Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem & Servén, Luis & Avdjiev, Stefan & Hardy, Bryan, 2017. "Gross Capital Inflows to Banks, Corporates and Sovereigns," CEPR Discussion Papers 11806, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  35. Jinyeong Yun, 2025. "The Distributional Effects of Capital Inflows," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(5), pages 1527-1566, November.
  36. Stefan Avdjiev & Bryan Hardy & Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Luis Servén, 2022. "Gross Capital Flows by Banks, Corporates, and Sovereigns," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(5), pages 2098-2135.
  37. Wishnu Mahraddika, 2021. "How effective is capital flow management? The Indonesian experience," Departmental Working Papers 2021-15, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
  38. Osuagwu, Eze Simpson & Isola, Wakeel & Nwaogwugwu, Isaac, 2018. "Measuring Technical Efficiency and Productivity Change in the Nigerian Banking Sector: A Comparison of non-parametric DEA and parametric SFA," MPRA Paper 112948, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  39. Brahim Gaies, Khaled Guesmi, Thomas Porcher, Raphael Boroumand, 2020. "Financial instability and oil price fluctuations: evidence from oil exporting developing countries," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 17(1), pages 55-71, June.
  40. Bouvatier, Vincent & El Ouardi, Sofiane, 2023. "Credit gaps as banking crisis predictors: A different tune for middle- and low-income countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  41. Yongseok Choi & Levan Efremidze & Ozan Sula & Thomas D. Willett, 2025. "Which Capital Flow Surge Methods Are Better at Predicting Reversals and Sudden Stops?: Balancing Type 1 and Type 2 Errors," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 781-824, July.
  42. Hamdi, Helmi & Jlassi, Nabila Boukef, 2014. "Financial liberalization, disaggregated capital flows and banking crisis: Evidence from developing countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 124-132.
  43. Eberhardt, Markus & Presbitero, Andrea F., 2021. "Commodity prices and banking crises," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  44. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alessandro Girardi, 2016. "Business cycles, international trade and capital flows: evidence from Latin America," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 231-252, March.
  45. Rasmane Ouedraogo & Montfort Mlachila & Windemanegda Sandrine Sourouema & Ali Compaoré, 2022. "The impact of conflict and political instability on banking crises in developing countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(6), pages 1937-1977, June.
  46. Lorenzo Menna & Martin Tobal, 2018. "Financial and price stability in emerging markets: the role of the interest rate," BIS Working Papers 717, Bank for International Settlements.
  47. Rudiger Ahrend & Antoine Goujard, 2012. "International Capital Mobility and Financial Fragility - Part 1. Drivers of Systemic Banking Crises: The Role of Bank-Balance-Sheet Contagion and Financial Account Structure," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 902, OECD Publishing.
  48. Teimouri, Sheida & Zietz, Joachim, 2018. "The impact of surges in net private capital inflows on manufacturing, investment, and unemployment," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 158-170.
  49. Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Oscar M. Valencia & Gustavo A. Sánchez, 2024. "Debt affordability in developed and emerging market economies: the role of fiscal rules," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(2), pages 377-393, June.
  50. Singh, Sunny Kumar & Salva,, 2025. "Is the relationship between financial globalization and financial stability heterogeneous? Evidence from emerging markets and developing economies," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  51. Shugo Yamamoto, 2020. "Global Liquidity,Offshore Bond Issuance and Shadow Banking in China," Discussion Papers 2011, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
  52. Huang, Xiaowei & He, Chenyu & Zhang, Man, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and capital flows' tail risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  53. Christopher Baum & Madhavi Pundit & Arief Ramayandi, 2015. "Openness and financial stability," EcoMod2015 8652, EcoMod.
  54. Puspa D. Amri & Greg M. Richey & Thomas D. Willett, 2016. "Capital Surges and Credit Booms: How Tight is the Relationship?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 637-670, September.
  55. Mikhail Stolbov, 2015. "Anatomy of international banking crises at the onset of the Great Recession," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 553-569, October.
  56. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2021. "Accounting for trade deficits," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
  57. Sigríður Benediktsdóttir & Gauti Bergþóruson Eggertsson & Eggert Þórarinsson, 2017. "The Rise, Fall, and Resurrection of Iceland: A Postmortem Analysis of the 2008 Financial Crisis," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(2 (Fall)), pages 191-308.
  58. Bationo, François D’Assises Babou, 2025. "Optimal credit development regimes and impact of foreign capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
  59. Andrew Powell & Pilar Tavella, 2012. "Capital Inflow Surges in Emerging Economies: How Worried Should LAC Be?," Research Department Publications 4782, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  60. Karlström, Peter, 2025. "Macroprudential policy and systemic risk: The role of corporate and household credit booms," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  61. BOUKEF JLASSI, NABILA & Hamdi, Helmi, 2015. "The relationship between Financial liberalization, Financial Stability and Capital Control: Evidence from a multivariate framework for developing countries," MPRA Paper 64328, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  62. Caballero, Julián & Fernández, Andrés & Park, Jongho, 2019. "On corporate borrowing, credit spreads and economic activity in emerging economies: An empirical investigation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 160-178.
  63. Furceri, Davide & Guichard, Stéphanie & Rusticelli, Elena, 2012. "The effect of episodes of large capital inflows on domestic credit," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 325-344.
  64. Joyce, Joseph P., 2019. "Partners, not debtors: The external liabilities of emerging market economies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 320-337.
  65. Berrak Bahadir & Neven Valev, 2023. "Global Liquidity and Household Credit Growth," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(5), pages 1039-1061, November.
  66. Bodart, Vincent & Carpantier, Jean-François, 2023. "Currency crises in emerging countries: The commodity factor," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
  67. Carlos Giraldo & Iader Giraldo-Salazar & Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge M. Uribe, 2025. "The Impact of Colombia’s Gross Leverage Position in Foreign Exchange Derivatives on Housing Market Stability," Documentos de trabajo 21366, FLAR.
  68. Jinyeong Yun, 2023. "Capital Inflows and Income Inequality:Evidence from Panel VAR Approach," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202322, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  69. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Alper, Koray & Pereira da Silva, Luiz, 2018. "External shocks, financial volatility and reserve requirements in an open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 23-43.
  70. Bank for International Settlements, 2021. "Changing patterns of capital flows," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 66.
  71. Giraldo, Carlos & Giraldo, Iader & Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M., 2024. "Financial integration and banking stability: A post-global crisis assessment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  72. Berrak Bahadir & Neven Valev, 2021. "Global Liquidity and Household Credit," Working Papers 2106, Florida International University, Department of Economics.
  73. Li, Xiang & Su, Dan, 2022. "Surges and instability: The maturity shortening channel," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  74. Xu, Haoran & Miao, Wenlong & Zhang, Siyu, 2025. "Cross-border capital inflows and systemic financial risks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  75. repec:pra:mprapa:117955 is not listed on IDEAS
  76. Giraldo, Carlos & Giraldo, Iader & Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M., 2024. "High frequency monitoring of credit creation: A new tool for central banks in emerging market economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  77. Mercado, Rogelio V., 2019. "Capital flow transitions: Domestic factors and episodes of gross capital inflows," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 251-264.
  78. Antoine GODIN & Sakir-Devrim YILMAZ, 2020. "Modelling Small Open Developing Economies in a Financialized World: A Stock-Flow Consistent Prototype Growth Model," Working Paper 5eb7e0e8-560f-4ce6-91a5-5, Agence française de développement.
  79. Andrieş, Alin Marius & Chiper, Alexandra Maria & Ongena, Steven & Sprincean, Nicu, 2024. "External wealth of nations and systemic risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  80. Wang, Bo & Yan, Ruolan & Chen, Yang, 2025. "Predicting abnormal capital flow episodes with machine learning methods," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  81. Carlos Cantù & Catherine Casanova & Rodrigo Alfaro & Fernando Chertman & Gerald Cisneros & Toni dos Santos & Roberto Lobato & Calixto Lopez & Facundo Luna & David Moreno & Miguel Sarmiento & Rafael Ni, 2022. "How capital inflows translate into new bank lending: tracing the mechanism in Latin America," BIS Working Papers 1051, Bank for International Settlements.
  82. Joseph P. Joyce, 2018. "External balance sheets as countercyclical crisis buffers," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 305-329, April.
  83. Alessi, Lucia & Detken, Carsten, 2018. "Identifying excessive credit growth and leverage," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 215-225.
  84. Masyita Crystallin & Levan Efremidze & Sungsoo Kim & Wahyu Nugroho & Ozan Sula & Thomas Willett, 2015. "How Common are Capital Flows Surges? How They are Measured Matters -a Lot," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 663-682, September.
  85. Rachel Cho & Rodolphe Desbordes & Markus Eberhardt, 2022. "The causal effects of the darker side of financial development," Discussion Papers 2022-04, University of Nottingham, GEP.
  86. Christiane Kneer & Alexander Raabe, 2024. "Tracking Foreign Capital: The Effect of Capital Inflows on Bank Lending in the UK," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(4), pages 1279-1319, December.
  87. Gozgor, Giray, 2018. "Determinants of the domestic credits in developing economies: The role of political risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 430-443.
  88. Suh, Sangwon, 2017. "Sudden stops of capital flows to emerging markets: A new prediction approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 289-308.
  89. Compaoré, Ali, 2022. "Access-for-all to financial services: Non-resources tax revenue-harnessing opportunities in developing countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 236-245.
  90. Atish R. Ghosh & Mahvash S. Qureshi, 2016. "Capital Inflow Surges and Consequences," ADBI Working Papers 585, Asian Development Bank Institute.
  91. Kyoungsoo Yoon & Jayoung Kim, 2015. "Costs of Foreign Capital Flows in Emerging Market Economies: Unexpected Economic Growth and Increased Financial Market Volatility," Working Papers 2015-21, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
  92. Julian Caballero, 2012. "Do Surges in International Capital Inflows Influence the Likelihood of Banking Crises? Cross-Country Evidence on Bonanzas in Capital Inflows and Bonanza-Boom- Bust Cycles," Research Department Publications 4775, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  93. Joseph Attila, 2025. "Political Environment, Banking Liquidity, and Banking Crises: A Mediation Analysis From Panel Data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 3569-3599, October.
  94. Xie, Qiwei & Xu, Qifan & Chen, Lifan & Jin, Xi & Li, Siqi & Li, Yongjun, 2022. "Efficiency evaluation of China's listed commercial banks based on a multi-period leader-follower model," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  95. Stijn Ferrari & Mara Pirovano, 2016. "Does one size fit all at all times? The role of country specificities and state dependencies in predicting banking crises," Working Paper Research 297, National Bank of Belgium.
  96. Caballero, Julian, 2015. "Banking crises and financial integration: Insights from networks science," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 127-146.
  97. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2022. "Financial spillovers, spillbacks, and the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 79-127, February.
  98. Tobal, Martin & Menna, Lorenzo, 2020. "Monetary policy and financial stability in emerging market economies," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 1(1).
  99. Konstantin Makrelov & Rob Davies & Laurence Harris, 2021. "The impact of capital flow reversal shocks in South Africa: a stock- and-flow-consistent analysis," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3-4), pages 475-501, July.
  100. Igan, Deniz & Kutan, Ali M. & Mirzaei, Ali, 2020. "The real effects of capital inflows in emerging markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  101. Sigríður Benediktsdóttir & Gauti B. Eggertsson & Eggert Þórarinsson, 2017. "The Rise, the Fall, and the Resurrection of Iceland," NBER Working Papers 24005, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  102. Ali Compaore, 2020. "Access-for-all to Financial Services: Non- resources Tax Revenue-harnessing Opportunities in Developing Countries," Working Papers hal-02901664, HAL.
  103. Caballero, Julián & Fernández, Andrés & Park, Jongho, 2019. "On corporate borrowing, credit spreads and economic activity in emerging economies: An empirical investigation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 160-178.
  104. Gou, Qin & Li, Xingshen & Zhao, Guojun, 2024. "Surges of cross border capital flow: The impact of digital finance," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
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