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Carbon price forecasting with a novel hybrid ARIMA and least squares support vector machines methodology

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Cited by:

  1. Xuedi Li & Jie Ma & Zhu Chen & Haitao Zheng, 2018. "Linkage Analysis among China’s Seven Emissions Trading Scheme Pilots," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-13, September.
  2. Wei, Yi-Ming & Mi, Zhi-Fu & Huang, Zhimin, 2015. "Climate policy modeling: An online SCI-E and SSCI based literature review," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 57(PA), pages 70-84.
  3. Guo, Wei & Liu, Qingfu & Luo, Zhidan & Tse, Yiuman, 2022. "Forecasts for international financial series with VMD algorithms," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  4. Jichang Dong & Wei Dai & Ying Liu & Lean Yu & Jie Wang, 2019. "Forecasting Chinese Stock Market Prices using Baidu Search Index with a Learning-Based Data Collection Method," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(05), pages 1605-1629, September.
  5. Jun Hao & Xiaolei Sun & Qianqian Feng, 2020. "A Novel Ensemble Approach for the Forecasting of Energy Demand Based on the Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-25, January.
  6. Jianguo Zhou & Xuechao Yu & Xiaolei Yuan, 2018. "Predicting the Carbon Price Sequence in the Shenzhen Emissions Exchange Using a Multiscale Ensemble Forecasting Model Based on Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, July.
  7. Qi, Shaozhou & Cheng, Shihan & Tan, Xiujie & Feng, Shenghao & Zhou, Qi, 2022. "Predicting China's carbon price based on a multi-scale integrated model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
  8. Quande Qin & Huangda He & Li Li & Ling-Yun He, 2020. "A Novel Decomposition-Ensemble Based Carbon Price Forecasting Model Integrated with Local Polynomial Prediction," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 1249-1273, April.
  9. Wang, Delu & Wang, Yadong & Song, Xuefeng & Liu, Yun, 2018. "Coal overcapacity in China: Multiscale analysis and prediction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 244-257.
  10. Vladimír Hönig & Petr Prochazka & Michal Obergruber & Luboš Smutka & Viera Kučerová, 2019. "Economic and Technological Analysis of Commercial LNG Production in the EU," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-17, April.
  11. Gao, Feng & Shao, Xueyan, 2022. "A novel interval decomposition ensemble model for interval carbon price forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
  12. Wang, Xin & Sun, Mei, 2021. "A novel prediction model of multi-layer symbolic pattern network: Based on causation entropy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 575(C).
  13. Liu, Menghe & Li, Yuxiao, 2022. "Environmental regulation and green innovation: Evidence from China's carbon emissions trading policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
  14. Zhu, Bangzhu & Ye, Shunxin & Wang, Ping & He, Kaijian & Zhang, Tao & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2018. "A novel multiscale nonlinear ensemble leaning paradigm for carbon price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 143-157.
  15. Ping Wang & Bangzhu Zhu, 2016. "Estimating the Contribution of Industry Structure Adjustment to the Carbon Intensity Target: A Case of Guangdong," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-11, April.
  16. Liao, Haolan & Wu, Di & Wang, Yuhan & Lyu, Zeyu & Sun, Hongmei & Nie, Yongyou & He, He, 2022. "Impacts of carbon trading mechanism on closed-loop supply chain: A case study of stringer pallet remanufacturing," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  17. Bangzhu Zhu & Ping Wang & Julien Chevallier & Yiming Wei, 2015. "Carbon Price Analysis Using Empirical Mode Decomposition," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 45(2), pages 195-206, February.
  18. Naber, S.K. & de Ree, D.A. & Spliet, R. & van den Heuvel, W., 2015. "Allocating CO2 emission to customers on a distribution route," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 191-199.
  19. Wang, Jujie & Zhuang, Zhenzhen & Gao, Dongming, 2023. "An enhanced hybrid model based on multiple influencing factors and divide-conquer strategy for carbon price prediction," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  20. Sun, Wei & Huang, Chenchen, 2020. "A novel carbon price prediction model combines the secondary decomposition algorithm and the long short-term memory network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
  21. Huang, Zhehao & Dong, Hao & Jia, Shuaishuai, 2022. "Equilibrium pricing for carbon emission in response to the target of carbon emission peaking," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  22. Li, Guohui & Ning, Zhiyuan & Yang, Hong & Gao, Lipeng, 2022. "A new carbon price prediction model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PD).
  23. Wang, Ke & Wei, Yi-Ming & Huang, Zhimin, 2016. "Potential gains from carbon emissions trading in China: A DEA based estimation on abatement cost savings," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 48-59.
  24. Chen, Xu & Wang, Xiaojun, 2016. "Effects of carbon emission reduction policies on transportation mode selections with stochastic demand," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 196-205.
  25. Jianguo Zhou & Dongfeng Chen, 2021. "Carbon Price Forecasting Based on Improved CEEMDAN and Extreme Learning Machine Optimized by Sparrow Search Algorithm," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-20, April.
  26. Katarzyna Rudnik & Anna Hnydiuk-Stefan & Aneta Kucińska-Landwójtowicz & Łukasz Mach, 2022. "Forecasting Day-Ahead Carbon Price by Modelling Its Determinants Using the PCA-Based Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-23, October.
  27. Xing Zhang & Chongchong Zhang & Zhuoqun Wei, 2019. "Carbon Price Forecasting Based on Multi-Resolution Singular Value Decomposition and Extreme Learning Machine Optimized by the Moth–Flame Optimization Algorithm Considering Energy and Economic Factors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-23, November.
  28. Taiyong Li & Zhenda Hu & Yanchi Jia & Jiang Wu & Yingrui Zhou, 2018. "Forecasting Crude Oil Prices Using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Sparse Bayesian Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-23, July.
  29. Bangzhu Zhu & Julien Chevallier & Shujiao Ma & Yiming Wei, 2015. "Examining the structural changes of European carbon futures price 2005-2012," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(5), pages 335-342, March.
  30. Atsalakis, George S. & Atsalaki, Ioanna G. & Pasiouras, Fotios & Zopounidis, Constantin, 2019. "Bitcoin price forecasting with neuro-fuzzy techniques," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 276(2), pages 770-780.
  31. Zhu, Jiaming & Wu, Peng & Chen, Huayou & Liu, Jinpei & Zhou, Ligang, 2019. "Carbon price forecasting with variational mode decomposition and optimal combined model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 519(C), pages 140-158.
  32. Xu, Shuojiang & Chan, Hing Kai & Zhang, Tiantian, 2019. "Forecasting the demand of the aviation industry using hybrid time series SARIMA-SVR approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 169-180.
  33. Wei Sun & Junjian Zhang, 2020. "Carbon Price Prediction Based on Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Extreme Learning Machine Optimized by Improved Bat Algorithm Considering Energy Price Factors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-22, July.
  34. Xiong, Tao & Li, Chongguang & Bao, Yukun, 2017. "Interval-valued time series forecasting using a novel hybrid HoltI and MSVR model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 11-23.
  35. Zhao, Xin & Han, Meng & Ding, Lili & Kang, Wanglin, 2018. "Usefulness of economic and energy data at different frequencies for carbon price forecasting in the EU ETS," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 132-141.
  36. Mohammed Alamoudi & Osman Taylan & Behrooz Keshtegar & Mona Abusurrah & Mohammed Balubaid, 2022. "Modeling Sulphur Dioxide (SO 2 ) Quality Levels of Jeddah City Using Machine Learning Approaches with Meteorological and Chemical Factors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-21, December.
  37. Jianguo Zhou & Qiqi Wang, 2021. "Forecasting Carbon Price with Secondary Decomposition Algorithm and Optimized Extreme Learning Machine," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-17, July.
  38. Zhao, Weigang & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan, 2014. "Combining forecasts of electricity consumption in China with time-varying weights updated by a high-order Markov chain model," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 80-91.
  39. Heng-Li Yang & Han-Chou Lin, 2017. "Applying the Hybrid Model of EMD, PSR, and ELM to Exchange Rates Forecasting," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 49(1), pages 99-116, January.
  40. Yee-Fan Tan & Lee-Yeng Ong & Meng-Chew Leow & Yee-Xian Goh, 2021. "Exploring Time-Series Forecasting Models for Dynamic Pricing in Digital Signage Advertising," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-24, September.
  41. Houjian Li & Xinya Huang & Deheng Zhou & Andi Cao & Mengying Su & Yufeng Wang & Lili Guo, 2022. "Forecasting Carbon Price in China: A Multimodel Comparison," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-16, May.
  42. Chao Zhang & Yihang Zhao & Huiru Zhao, 2022. "A Novel Hybrid Price Prediction Model for Multimodal Carbon Emission Trading Market Based on CEEMDAN Algorithm and Window-Based XGBoost Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(21), pages 1-16, November.
  43. Haoran Zhao & Sen Guo, 2023. "Carbon Trading Price Prediction of Three Carbon Trading Markets in China Based on a Hybrid Model Combining CEEMDAN, SE, ISSA, and MKELM," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-21, May.
  44. Han, Meng & Ding, Lili & Zhao, Xin & Kang, Wanglin, 2019. "Forecasting carbon prices in the Shenzhen market, China: The role of mixed-frequency factors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 69-76.
  45. Simsek, Serhat & Dag, Ali & Tiahrt, Thomas & Oztekin, Asil, 2021. "A Bayesian Belief Network-based probabilistic mechanism to determine patient no-show risk categories," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  46. Tan, Luzhi & Dong, Xiaoming & Gong, Zhiqiang & Wang, Mingtao, 2018. "Analysis on energy efficiency and CO2 emission reduction of an SOFC-based energy system served public buildings with large interior zones," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 1106-1118.
  47. Xian, Sidong & Feng, Miaomiao & Cheng, Yue, 2023. "Incremental nonlinear trend fuzzy granulation for carbon trading time series forecast," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
  48. Wesseh, Presley K. & Lin, Boqiang, 2016. "Modeling environmental policy with and without abatement substitution: A tradeoff between economics and environment?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 34-43.
  49. Xiao, Jin & Li, Yuxi & Xie, Ling & Liu, Dunhu & Huang, Jing, 2018. "A hybrid model based on selective ensemble for energy consumption forecasting in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 534-546.
  50. E, Jianwei & Ye, Jimin & He, Lulu & Jin, Haihong, 2019. "Energy price prediction based on independent component analysis and gated recurrent unit neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  51. Wang, Piao & Tao, Zhifu & Liu, Jinpei & Chen, Huayou, 2023. "Improving the forecasting accuracy of interval-valued carbon price from a novel multi-scale framework with outliers detection: An improved interval-valued time series analysis mode," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
  52. Qingjie Zhou & Panpan Zhu & Yinpeng Zhang, 2023. "Contagion Spillover from Bitcoin to Carbon Futures Pricing: Perspective from Investor Attention," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-22, January.
  53. Peng Ye & Yong Li & Abu Bakkar Siddik, 2023. "Forecasting the Return of Carbon Price in the Chinese Market Based on an Improved Stacking Ensemble Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-39, June.
  54. Peng Chen & Andrew Vivian & Cheng Ye, 2022. "Forecasting carbon futures price: a hybrid method incorporating fuzzy entropy and extreme learning machine," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 559-601, June.
  55. Chen, Weidong & Xiong, Shi & Chen, Quanyu, 2022. "Characterizing the dynamic evolutionary behavior of multivariate price movement fluctuation in the carbon-fuel energy markets system from complex network perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
  56. Bangzhu Zhu & Xuetao Shi & Julien Chevallier & Ping Wang & Yi‐Ming Wei, 2016. "An Adaptive Multiscale Ensemble Learning Paradigm for Nonstationary and Nonlinear Energy Price Time Series Forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(7), pages 633-651, November.
  57. Julien Chevallier & Stéphane Goutte, 2017. "Estimation of Lévy-driven Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes: application to modeling of $$\hbox {CO}_2$$ CO 2 and fuel-switching," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 255(1), pages 169-197, August.
  58. Lei, Heng & Xue, Minggao & Liu, Huiling, 2022. "Probability distribution forecasting of carbon allowance prices: A hybrid model considering multiple influencing factors," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  59. Shenghua Xiong & Chunfeng Wang & Zhenming Fang & Dan Ma, 2019. "Multi-Step-Ahead Carbon Price Forecasting Based on Variational Mode Decomposition and Fast Multi-Output Relevance Vector Regression Optimized by the Multi-Objective Whale Optimization Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-21, January.
  60. Fan, Xinghua & Wang, Li & Li, Shasha, 2016. "Predicting chaotic coal prices using a multi-layer perceptron network model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 86-92.
  61. Fengli Zhang & Chen Li & Yajie Yu & Dana M. Johnson, 2019. "Resources and Future Availability of Agricultural Biomass for Energy Use in Beijing," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-14, May.
  62. Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Xinsong & Zhang, Linyue & Lv, Mengzheng, 2021. "Point and interval prediction for non-ferrous metals based on a hybrid prediction framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  63. Song, Xiangnan & Lu, Yujie & Shen, Liyin & Shi, Xunpeng, 2018. "Will China's building sector participate in emission trading system? Insights from modelling an owner's optimal carbon reduction strategies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 232-244.
  64. Jujie Wang & Zhenzhen Zhuang, 2023. "A novel cluster based multi-index nonlinear ensemble framework for carbon price forecasting," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(7), pages 6225-6247, July.
  65. Wiryadinata, Steven & Morejohn, Josh & Kornbluth, Kurt, 2019. "Pathways to carbon neutral energy systems at the University of California, Davis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 853-866.
  66. Huang, Yumeng & Dai, Xingyu & Wang, Qunwei & Zhou, Dequn, 2021. "A hybrid model for carbon price forecastingusing GARCH and long short-term memory network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
  67. Feng, Ling & Wang, Jieyu, 2023. "Random sources correlations and carbon futures pricing," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  68. Hongwei Dong & Yue Hu & Yihe Yang & Wenjing Jiang, 2023. "A Multi-Strategy Integration Prediction Model for Carbon Price," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-19, June.
  69. Xu, Hua & Wang, Minggang & Jiang, Shumin & Yang, Weiguo, 2020. "Carbon price forecasting with complex network and extreme learning machine," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
  70. Niu, Xinsong & Wang, Jiyang & Wei, Danxiang & Zhang, Lifang, 2022. "A combined forecasting framework including point prediction and interval prediction for carbon emission trading prices," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(P1), pages 46-59.
  71. Zhou, Feite & Huang, Zhehao & Zhang, Changhong, 2022. "Carbon price forecasting based on CEEMDAN and LSTM," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).
  72. Singh, Sarbjit & Parmar, Kulwinder Singh & Makkhan, Sidhu Jitendra Singh & Kaur, Jatinder & Peshoria, Shruti & Kumar, Jatinder, 2020. "Study of ARIMA and least square support vector machine (LS-SVM) models for the prediction of SARS-CoV-2 confirmed cases in the most affected countries," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  73. Abhinav Khare & Qing He & Rajan Batta, 2020. "Predicting gasoline shortage during disasters using social media," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 42(3), pages 693-726, September.
  74. Jianguo Zhou & Shiguo Wang, 2021. "A Carbon Price Prediction Model Based on the Secondary Decomposition Algorithm and Influencing Factors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-20, March.
  75. Yumin Li & Ruiqi Yang & Xiaoman Wang & Jiaming Zhu & Nan Song, 2023. "Carbon Price Combination Forecasting Model Based on Lasso Regression and Optimal Integration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-26, June.
  76. Wei Sun & Ming Duan, 2019. "Analysis and Forecasting of the Carbon Price in China’s Regional Carbon Markets Based on Fast Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, Phase Space Reconstruction, and an Improved Extreme Learning Machin," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-27, January.
  77. Zhang, Chen & Yang, Yu & Yun, Po, 2020. "Risk measurement of international carbon market based on multiple risk factors heterogeneous dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  78. Sun, Wei & Zhang, Chongchong, 2018. "Analysis and forecasting of the carbon price using multi—resolution singular value decomposition and extreme learning machine optimized by adaptive whale optimization algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 1354-1371.
  79. Kaijian He & Qian Yang & Lei Ji & Jingcheng Pan & Yingchao Zou, 2023. "Financial Time Series Forecasting with the Deep Learning Ensemble Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-15, February.
  80. Wen Zhang & Zhibin Wu, 2022. "Optimal hybrid framework for carbon price forecasting using time series analysis and least squares support vector machine," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 615-632, April.
  81. Fan, Liwei & Pan, Sijia & Li, Zimin & Li, Huiping, 2016. "An ICA-based support vector regression scheme for forecasting crude oil prices," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 245-253.
  82. Wang, Minggang & Zhu, Mengrui & Tian, Lixin, 2022. "A novel framework for carbon price forecasting with uncertainties," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
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