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Causality in temporal systems : Characterization and a survey

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  1. Chen, Chung & Wu, Chunchi, 1999. "The dynamics of dividends, earnings and prices: evidence and implications for dividend smoothing and signaling," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 29-58, January.
  2. Dufour, Jean-Marie & Pelletier, Denis & Renault, Eric, 2006. "Short run and long run causality in time series: inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 337-362, June.
  3. Lawrence S. Mayer & Steven S. Carroll, 1988. "Measures of Dependence for Cross-Lagged Panel Models," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 17(1), pages 93-120, August.
  4. David R. Davis & Michael D. Ward, 1990. "They Dance Alone," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 34(3), pages 449-475, September.
  5. Woo, Chi-Keung & Olson, Arne & Horowitz, Ira & Luk, Stephen, 2006. "Bi-directional causality in California's electricity and natural-gas markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(15), pages 2060-2070, October.
  6. Tran Hoa, 1981. "Causality and wage price inflation in West Germany 1964–1979," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 117(1), pages 110-124, March.
  7. Edgar Weissenberger & J. Thomas, 1983. "The causal role of money in West Germany," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 119(1), pages 64-83, March.
  8. Ghassan, Hassan B. & ElHafidi, Miloud, 1999. "Tests de G-causalité et spécification d’un modèle économétrique: Application sur un panel sectoriel marocain [G-causality tests and specification of an econometric model: Evidence form Sectoral Mor," MPRA Paper 56433, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 13 Jan 2000.
  9. Magdalena Osinska, 2011. "On the Interpretation of Causality in Granger’s Sense," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 11, pages 129-140.
  10. Winker, Peter, 1995. "Identification of multivariate AR-models by threshold accepting," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 295-307, September.
  11. Han, Heejoon & Linton, Oliver & Oka, Tatsushi & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2016. "The cross-quantilogram: Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 251-270.
  12. repec:cte:werepe:we1212 is not listed on IDEAS
  13. Taoufik Bouezmarni & Abderrahim Taamouti, 2014. "Nonparametric tests for conditional independence using conditional distributions," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(4), pages 697-719, December.
  14. Nidhal Mgadmi & Houssem Rachdi & Hichem Saidi & Khaled Guesmi, 2019. "On the Instability of Tunisian Money Demand: Some Empirical Issues with Structural Breaks," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(1), pages 153-165, March.
  15. Garcia, Yolanda T. & Salayo, Nerissa D., 2009. "Price Dynamics and Cointegration in the Major Markets of Aquaculture Species in the Philippines," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Development, Southeast Asian Regional Center for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture (SEARCA), vol. 6(1), pages 1-33, June.
  16. Langley, Suchada Vichitakul, 1982. "The formation of price expectations: a case study of the soybean market," ISU General Staff Papers 198201010800009358, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  17. Yi-Ting Chen, 2016. "Testing for Granger Causality in Moments," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(2), pages 265-288, April.
  18. Steven C. Blank, 1985. "Using causality and supply response models in interpreting foreign agricultural policies," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 1(2), pages 177-183.
  19. Seok Young Hong & Oliver Linton & Hui Jun Zhang, 2014. "Multivariate variance ratio statistics," CeMMAP working papers CWP29/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  20. Berndsen, Ron & Daniels, Hennie, 1990. "Qualitative dynamics and causality in a Keynesian model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 435-450, May.
  21. Lamm, R. McFall Jr., 1980. "Effects of Government Policy on Agriculture: An Empirical Analysis," Economics Statistics and Cooperative Services (ESCS) Reports 329209, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
  22. Andrea Silvestrini & David Veredas, 2008. "Temporal Aggregation Of Univariate And Multivariate Time Series Models: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 458-497, July.
  23. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Richard L Sprinkle & Roberto Tinajero, 2004. "El Paso Customs District Cross-Border Trade Flows," International Trade 0406001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  24. Jacques Mairesse & Alan K. Siu, 1984. "An Extended Accelerator Model of R&D and Physical Investment," NBER Chapters, in: R&D, Patents, and Productivity, pages 271-298, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  25. Christian M. Hafner & Helmut Herwartz, 2008. "Testing for Causality in Variance Usinf Multivariate GARCH Models," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 89, pages 215-241.
  26. Utku Utkulu & Durmus Özdemir, 2005. "Does Trade Liberalization Cause a Long Run Economic Growth in Turkey," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 37(3), pages 245-266, September.
  27. Lemmens, Aurélie & Croux, Christophe & Dekimpe, Marnik G., 2008. "Measuring and testing Granger causality over the spectrum: An application to European production expectation surveys," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 414-431.
  28. Seok Young Hong & Oliver Linton & Hui Jun Zhang, 2014. "Multivariate variance ratio statistics," CeMMAP working papers 29/14, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  29. Walter C. Labys & Alfred Maizels, 1990. "Commodity Price Fluctuations and Macro-economic Adjustments in the Developed Countries," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-1990-088, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  30. repec:cte:werepe:we1211 is not listed on IDEAS
  31. Hong, Yongmiao, 2001. "A test for volatility spillover with application to exchange rates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 103(1-2), pages 183-224, July.
  32. S. Gurcan Gulen, 1996. "Is OPEC a Cartel? Evidence from Cointegration and Causality Tests," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 43-57.
  33. Bai, Zhidong & Wong, Wing-Keung & Zhang, Bingzhi, 2010. "Multivariate linear and nonlinear causality tests," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 5-17.
  34. Scalia, Antonio, 1998. "Information transmission and causality in the Italian Treasury bond market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 361-384, October.
  35. N M Odhiambo, 2008. "Financial Development in Kenya: a Dynamic Test of the Finance-led Growth Hypothesis," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 13(2), pages 21-36, September.
  36. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Richard A Hirth & Mark B Smith, 2004. "Inflationary Dynamics and the Angell-Johnson Proposals," Macroeconomics 0409009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  37. Ramon Moreno, 1986. "Monetary control without a central bank: the case of Hong Kong," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Spr, pages 17-37.
  38. Harvey Starr & Francis W. Hoole & Jeffrey A. Hart & John R. Freeman, 1984. "The Relationship between Defense Spending and Inflation," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 28(1), pages 103-122, March.
  39. Xu Cheng & Eric Renault & Paul Sangrey, 2024. "Identifying the Volatility Risk Price Through the Leverage Effect," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-013, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
  40. Marc Hallin & Abdessamad Saidi, 2005. "Testing Non‐Correlation and Non‐Causality between Multivariate ARMA Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 83-105, January.
  41. McCrorie, J. Roderick & Chambers, Marcus J., 2006. "Granger causality and the sampling of economic processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 311-336, June.
  42. Babii, Andrii & Chen, Xi & Ghysels, Eric, 2019. "Commercial and Residential Mortgage Defaults: Spatial Dependence with Frailty," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 47-77.
  43. Zhao, Xiaoli & Ma, Qian & Yang, Rui, 2013. "Factors influencing CO2 emissions in China's power industry: Co-integration analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 89-98.
  44. Seok Young Hong & Oliver Linton & Hui Jun Zhang, 2015. "An investigation into multivariate variance ratio statistics and their application to stock market predictability," CeMMAP working papers 13/15, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  45. Paul R. Blackley, 1997. "The Short‐Run Relationship Between Sectoral Shifts and U.S. Labor Market Fluctuations," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 64(2), pages 486-502, October.
  46. Abdurrahman Korkmaz & Mustafa Erhan Bilman, 2017. "The S-curve Behaviour of the Trade Balance," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 52(1), pages 1-14, February.
  47. Ayinde, Opeyemi Eyitayo & Ilori, T. E. & Ayinde, K. & Babatunde, R. O., 2015. "Analysis of the Behaviour of Prices of Major Staple Foods in West Africa: A Case Study of Nigeria," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 7(4), pages 1-15, December.
  48. Grant Kirkpatrick, 1981. "Further results on the time series analysis of real wages and employment for U. S. manufacturing, 1948–1977," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 117(2), pages 326-351, June.
  49. Singh, Sonika & Ratchford, Brian T. & Prasad, Ashutosh, 2014. "Offline and Online Search in Used Durables Markets," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 301-320.
  50. Daniel J. Seger & David A. Lins & Michael A. Hudson, 1989. "Lead-lag relationships between interest rates, exchange rates, and agricultural exports to Japan," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 5(2), pages 169-179.
  51. Steve Chan & Cal Clark & David R. Davis, 1990. "State Entrepreneurship, Foreign Investment, Export Expansion, and Economic Growth," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 34(1), pages 102-129, March.
  52. Thomas M Fullerton Jr, 2004. "Currency Movements and International Border Crossings," Urban/Regional 0407008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  53. Abdur R. Chowdhury, 1991. "A Causal Analysis of Defense Spending and Economic Growth," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 35(1), pages 80-97, March.
  54. Stevenson, Alan & Boyd, Milton S., 2001. "Lead Lag Relationships Between Resource Prices and Corresponding Resource Company Share Prices," 2001 Conference (45th), January 23-25, 2001, Adelaide, Australia 125959, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  55. Teame Ghirmay & Subhash Sharma & Richard Grabowski, 1999. "Export instability, income terms of trade instability and growth: causal analyses," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 209-229.
  56. Yazdanpanah, Ahmad, 1994. "The impact of oil price on food security in the Algeria, Iran, and Saudi Arabia: cointegration, vector-error correction model, dynamics, and causality analysis," ISU General Staff Papers 1994010108000011661, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  57. Mui, H.W. & Bradford, Garnett L. & Ali, Mukhtar M., 1986. "Modeling The Demand For Durable Inputs: Distributed Lags And Causality," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 18(2), pages 1-8, December.
  58. Takada, Hirokazu & Bass, Frank M., 1998. "Multiple Time Series Analysis of Competitive Marketing Behavior," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 97-107, October.
  59. Grundmeier, Eric (Eric L.), 1989. "Formulation of a carcass cutout value: an alternative wholesale beef pricing method," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000017580, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  60. David Maddison, 2004. "Causality and Museum Subsidies," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 28(2), pages 89-108, May.
  61. Marvin B. Lieberman & Lieven Demeester, 1999. "Inventory Reduction and Productivity Growth: Linkages in the Japanese Automotive Industry," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(4), pages 466-485, April.
  62. Phipps, Tim, 1982. "Farmland Prices and the Return to Land: An Application of Causality Testing," 1982 Annual Meeting, August 1-4, Logan, Utah 279162, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  63. Michele Fratianni & Mustapha Nabli, 1979. "Money stock control in the EEC countries," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 115(3), pages 401-424, September.
  64. Seok Young Hong & Oliver Linton & Hui Jun Zhang, 2015. "An investigation into Multivariate Variance Ratio Statistics and their application to Stock Market Predictability," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1552, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  65. Taamouti, Abderrahim & Bouezmarni, Taoufik & El Ghouch, Anouar, 2012. "Nonparametric Estimation and Inference for Granger Causality Measures," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2012009, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
  66. Cheng Hsiao, 1977. "Money And Income, Causality Detection," NBER Working Papers 0167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  67. Wu, Chunchi & Su, Youg-Chern, 1998. "Dynamic relations among international stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 63-84.
  68. Martens, Martin & Kofman, Paul, 1998. "The inefficiency of Reuters foreign exchange quotes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 347-366, March.
  69. Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2009. "Energy consumption and economic growth nexus in Tanzania: An ARDL bounds testing approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 617-622, February.
  70. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Ng, Lilian K., 1996. "A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1-2), pages 33-48.
  71. Philip Hans Franses & Reinoud leperen & Paul Kofman & Martin Martens & Bert Menkveld, 1997. "Volatility Transmission And Patterns In Bund Futures," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 20(4), pages 459-482, December.
  72. Ajayi, Richard A. & Friedman, Joseph & Mehdian, Seyed M., 1998. "On the relationship between stock returns and exchange rates: Tests of granger causality," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 241-251.
  73. R. Jeffery Green & Gary R. Albrecht, 1979. "Testing for Causality in Regional Econometric Models," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 4(2), pages 155-164, December.
  74. Carter, Colin A. & Rausser, Gordon C., 1983. "Lead-lag price relationships between thinly and heavily traded commodity futures markets," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt0xk1k6bd, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
  75. Cho-Hoi Hui & Tom Fong, 2011. "Information Flow between Sovereign CDS and Dollar-Yen Currency Option Markets in the Sovereign Debt Crisis of 2009-2011," Working Papers 402011, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
  76. Uri, Noel D., 1999. "Energy and the use of conservation tillage in US agriculture," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 299-306, May.
  77. Glismann, Hans H. & Horn, Ernst-Jürgen, 1988. "Growth, growth fluctuations, and the stages of technological advance," Kiel Working Papers 327, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  78. Ian G. Sharpe & Paul A. Volker, 1980. "The Australian Monetary Base/Money Supply Relationship 1964–1977," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 56(155), pages 331-337, December.
  79. Breitung, Jörg & Swanson, Norman Rasmus, 1998. "Temporal aggregation and causality in multiple time series models," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1998,27, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
  80. Uri, Noel D., 1996. "Changing crude oil price effects on US agricultural employment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 185-202, July.
  81. Uri, Noel D., 1998. "Impact of the price of energy on the use of conservation tillage in agriculture in the USA," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(4), pages 225-240, August.
  82. Tsai, Grace Yueh-Hsiang, 1989. "A dynamic model of the U.S. cotton market with rational expectations," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000012168, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  83. Ebohon, Obas John, 1996. "Energy, economic growth and causality in developing countries : A case study of Tanzania and Nigeria," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 447-453, May.
  84. Hong, Yongmiao & Liu, Yanhui & Wang, Shouyang, 2009. "Granger causality in risk and detection of extreme risk spillover between financial markets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 271-287, June.
  85. Mougoue, Mbodja & Noula, Armand Gilbert & Ajayi, Richard A., 2008. "Maturities, Nonlinearities, and the International Transmission of Short-Term Interest Rates," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 4(1-2), pages 1-20.
  86. Samarjit Das, 2003. "Modelling money, price and output in India: a vector autoregressive and moving average (VARMA) approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(10), pages 1219-1225.
  87. Shovon Sengupta & Tanujit Chakraborty & Sunny Kumar Singh, 2023. "Forecasting CPI inflation under economic policy and geopolitical uncertainties," Papers 2401.00249, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
  88. Blank, Steven C, 1987. "Evaluating International Price Relationships Using Causal Models," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 14(3), pages 305-323.
  89. Hyun Mo Sung & Jorge L. Urrutia, 1995. "Long-Term And Short-Term Causal Relations Between Dividends And Stock Prices: A Test Of Lintner'S Dividend Model And The Present Value Model Of Stock Prices," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 18(2), pages 171-188, June.
  90. Ralf Ostermark, 1998. "Multivariate Granger causality in international asset pricing: evidence from the Finnish and Japanese financial economies," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 67-72.
  91. Mohammed Ibrahim El-Sakka & Naief Hamad Al-Mutairi, 2000. "Exports and Economic Growth: The Arab Experience," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 39(2), pages 153-169.
  92. Kofman, Paul & Martens, Martin, 1997. "Interaction between stock markets: an analysis of the common trading hours at the London and New York stock exchange," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 387-414, June.
  93. Fatai, K & Oxley, Les & Scrimgeour, F.G, 2004. "Modelling the causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP in New Zealand, Australia, India, Indonesia, The Philippines and Thailand," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 64(3), pages 431-445.
  94. Stanislav S Borysov & Alexander V Balatsky, 2014. "Cross-Correlation Asymmetries and Causal Relationships between Stock and Market Risk," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(8), pages 1-11, August.
  95. Allan Fels & Tran Van Hoa, 1981. "Causal Relationships in Australian Wage Inflation and Minimum Award Rates," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 57(1), pages 23-34, March.
  96. Anand K. Bhattacharya & George W. Gallinger, 1991. "Causality Tests Of Short Sales On The New York Stock Exchange," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 14(3), pages 277-286, September.
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