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An Extended Accelerator Model of R&D and Physical Investment

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  • Jacques Mairesse
  • Alan K. Siu

Abstract

Using a multivariate autoregressive framework, we have found a simple causal structure for the variables of interest q, s, r, and i, which is consistent with our data. As expected from the stock market efficiency hypothesis, q, the stock market one period holding rate of return, is exogenous relative to the other three variables (or Granger causes them). As postulated in the traditional accelerator model of investment, the rate of growth of sales, s, can be also treated as exogenous to the rates of growth of R&D and physical. investment, r and i. Moreover, no strong feed- back interaction is detected between the last two (r and i). Within the simple structure of the extended accelerator model, the substantive conclusion is that R&D and physical investment react very similarly to the growth of the sales and to movements in q; the response of R&D is, however, more stable or less irregular than that of physical investment. Expected demand and expected profitability thus both appear to be important determinants for R&D expenditures and physical investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacques Mairesse & Alan K. Siu, 1982. "An Extended Accelerator Model of R&D and Physical Investment," NBER Working Papers 0968, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:0968
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    Cited by:

    1. OA Carboni & G. Medda, 2016. "R&D, Export, and Investment Decision," Working Paper CRENoS 201605, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    2. Bronwyn H. Hall & Jacques Mairesse & Benoit Mulkay, 1998. "Does cash flow cause investment and R&D: an exploration using panel data for French, Japanes and United States scientific firms," IFS Working Papers W98/11, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    3. Manohar Singh & Sheri Faircloth, 2005. "The impact of corporate debt on long term investment and firm performance," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 875-883.
    4. Zvi Griliches, 1998. "R&D and Productivity Growth: Comparing Japanese and U.S. Manufacturing Firms," NBER Chapters, in: R&D and Productivity: The Econometric Evidence, pages 187-210, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Lach, Saul & Schankerman, Mark, 1987. "The Interaction Between Capital Investment and R&D in Science-Based Firms," Working Papers 87-36, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
    6. Zvi Griliches & Bronwyn H. Hall & Ariel Pakes, 1988. "R&D, Patents, and Market Value Revisited: Is There Evidence of A SecondTechnological Opportunity Related Factor?," NBER Working Papers 2624, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Matete, M.E. & Hassan, Rashid M., 2000. "Public sector agricultural research expenditures and output in Lesotho: Analysis of causality and cointegration," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 39(4), pages 1-10, December.
    8. Frank R. Lichtenberg, 1986. "Private Investment in R&D to Signal Ability to Perform Government Contracts," NBER Working Papers 1974, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Hanran Li & Wenshu Wang, 2014. "Impact of Intangible Assets on Profitability of Hong Kong Listed Information Technology Companies," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 4(2), pages 98-113, December.
    10. HOSONO Kaoru & MIYAKAWA Daisuke & TAKIZAWA Miho & YAMANOUCHI Kenta, 2016. "Complementarity and Substitutability between Tangible and Intangible Capital: Evidence from Japanese firm-level data," Discussion papers 16024, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    11. Pardey, Philip G. & Craig, Barbara J., 1987. "Dynamics Of The Agricultural Research And Output Relationship," Staff Papers 13515, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    12. Oliviero A. Carboni & Giuseppe Medda, 2021. "Innovative activities and investment decision: evidence from European firms," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 172-196, February.

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