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The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population

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Cited by:

  1. Mary C. Daly, 2023. "Forward-Looking Policy in a Real-Time World," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2023(08), pages 1-8, March.
  2. Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Ventura, Gustavo & Yao, Wen, 2025. "The wealth of working nations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
  3. Sascha O. Becker & Jared Rubin & Ludger Woessmann, 2024. "Religion and Growth," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 62(3), pages 1094-1142, September.
  4. Jagjit S. Chadha & Issam Samiri, 2022. "Macroeconomic Perspectives on Productivity," Working Papers 030, The Productivity Institute.
  5. Gustafsson, Johan E. & Spears, Dean & Zuber, Stéphane, 2023. "Utilitarianism Is Implied by Social and Individual Dominance," IZA Discussion Papers 16561, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  6. Doepke, Matthias & Hannusch, Anne & Kindermann, Fabian & Tertilt, Michèle, 2022. "The Economics of Fertility: A New Era," IZA Discussion Papers 15224, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  7. Olabisi, Michael & Olabisi, Laura Schmitt & Richardson, Robert B., 2025. "Renewable energy finance in Africa as a global leverage point," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
  8. Bucci, Alberto & Prettner, Klaus, 2025. "Endogenous Depopulation and Economic Growth," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 377, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
  9. Gordon B. Dahl & Runjing Lu & William Mullins, 2022. "Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 4(4), pages 473-490, December.
  10. Wookun Kim, 2023. "Baby Bonus, Fertility, and Missing Women," Departmental Working Papers 2308, Southern Methodist University, Department of Economics.
  11. Pham, Ngoc-Sang, 2023. "Some Lectures on Macroeconomics," MPRA Paper 119643, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Joan E. Madia & Francesco Moscone & Asieh Hosseini Tabaghdehi & Jong-Chol An & Changkeun Lee, 2024. "Fertility Decline and Tax Revenues in South Korea," FBK-IRVAPP Working Papers 2024-02, Research Institute for the Evaluation of Public Policies (IRVAPP), Bruno Kessler Foundation.
  13. Bucci, Alberto & Carbonari, Lorenzo & Trivin, Pedro & Trovato, Giovanni, 2025. "Human capital-based growth with depopulation and class-size effects: theory and empirics," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29, pages 1-1, January.
  14. Brian J. Asquith & Evan Mast, 2024. "Birth Dearth and Local Population Decline," Upjohn Working Papers 24-406, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.
  15. Trang Hoang, 2022. "Fiscal competition and state pension reforms," Public Budgeting & Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 41-70, September.
  16. Hiroshi Inokuma & Juan M. Sánchez, 2024. "From Population Growth to TFP Growth," IMES Discussion Paper Series 24-E-09, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
  17. Guillaume Blanc & Romain Wacziarg, 2025. "Malthusian Migrations," NBER Working Papers 33542, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  18. Chu, Chin-Peng & Yeh, Kuo-Chun, 2021. "Demographic Transition for Economic Development in Taipei,China: Literature and Policy Implications," ADBI Working Papers 1222, Asian Development Bank Institute.
  19. Wen-Chin Chen & An-Xuan Ngo & Hui-Pin Chang, 2024. "Enhancing Decision-Making Processes in the Complex Landscape of the Taiwanese Electronics Manufacturing Industry through a Fuzzy MCDM Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-29, July.
  20. Justin-Damien Guénette & Lin Shao, 2025. "Assessing the Impact of Demographic Composition on Productivity," Discussion Papers 2025-03, Bank of Canada.
  21. Naudé, Wim & Nagler, Paula, 2022. "The Ossified Economy: The Case of Germany, 1870-2020," IZA Discussion Papers 15607, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  22. Nezih Guner & Ezgi Kaya & Virginia Sánchez‐Marcos, 2024. "Labor Market Institutions And Fertility," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(3), pages 1551-1587, August.
  23. Wu, Feifei & Xu, Peipei & Gao, Bo & Ma, Jing, 2024. "Export contraction and input switching in an aging China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  24. Sasaki, Hiroaki & Fukatani, Noriki & Imai, Daisuke & Kamanaka, Yusuke, 2022. "Sustainable Economic Growth in an Economy with Exhaustible Resources and a Declining Population under the Balance-of-Payments Constraint," MPRA Paper 113559, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  25. Sasaki, Hiroaki & Mino, Kazuo, 2024. "Effects of exhaustible resources and declining population on economic growth with Hotelling’s rule," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  26. David E. Bloom & Michael Kuhn & Klaus Prettner, 2024. "Fertility in High-Income Countries: Trends, Patterns, Determinants, and Consequences," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 16(1), pages 159-184, August.
  27. Tsangaris, Spyridon & Xepapadeas, Anastasios & Yannacopoulos, Athanasios N. & Salvati, Luca, 2024. "Spatial externalities, R&D spillovers, and endogenous technological change," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  28. Ilan Noy & Shakked Noy, 2022. "The Short-Termism of 'Hard' Economics," CESifo Working Paper Series 10160, CESifo.
  29. Daniele Angelini, 2023. "Aging Population and Technology Adoption," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2023-01, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
  30. Almeida, Derick & Naudé, Wim & Sequeira, Tiago Neves, 2024. "Artificial Intelligence and the Discovery of New Ideas: Is an Economic Growth Explosion Imminent?," IZA Discussion Papers 16766, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  31. Rannveig Kaldager Hart & Janna Bergsvik & Agnes Fauske & Wookun Kim, 2023. "Causal Analysis of Policy Effects on Fertility," CESifo Working Paper Series 10690, CESifo.
  32. Mino, Kazuo & Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2023. "Long-run consequences of population decline in an economy with exhaustible resources," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
  33. Gomes Orlando, 2024. "Economic Growth in the Age of Ubiquitous Threats: How Global Risks are Reshaping Growth Theory," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 1-15, January.
  34. Rossi,Federico & Michael Weber, 2024. "The Accumulation and Utilization of Human Capital over the Development Spectrum," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10891, The World Bank.
  35. Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli, 2021. "Identifying the sources of the slowdown in growth: Demand vs. supply," Working Paper 2021/9, Norges Bank.
  36. Mark Setterfield, 2023. "Post-Keynesian growth theory and the supply side: a feminist-structuralist approach," Working Papers 2302, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
  37. Wookun Kim, 2020. "Baby Bonus, Fertility, and Missing Women," Departmental Working Papers 2011, Southern Methodist University, Department of Economics.
  38. Chen, Chien-Hsun, 2023. "Taiwan’s Rapidly Aging Population: A Crisis in the Making?," MPRA Paper 116543, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  39. Bucci, Alberto, 2023. "Can a negative population growth rate sustain a positive economic growth rate in the long run?," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 17-28.
  40. Schlenker, Oliver, 2024. "The deadly consequences of labor scarcity: Evidence from hospitals," Working Papers 42, University of Konstanz, Cluster of Excellence "The Politics of Inequality. Perceptions, Participation and Policies".
  41. Madsen, Jakob B., 2025. "The aging society: Is growth reverting to pre-industrial levels in the 21st century?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
  42. Theodore P. Lianos & Anastasia Pseiridis & Nicholas Tsounis, 2023. "Declining population and GDP growth," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-9, December.
  43. Hellwagner, Timon & Weber, Enzo, 2021. "Labour Market Adjustments to Population Decline," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242455, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  44. Boikos, Spyridon & Bucci, Alberto & Sequeira, Tiago Neves, 2023. "May human capital rescue the Empty Planet?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
  45. Sheng Zhong & Mingting Shi & Qiang Xiao, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Population Growth Transition in China during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-17, November.
  46. Hiroaki Sasaki & Taichi Hori & Rokuhisa Hasegawa & Shigehiro Tajiri & Kaito Nakamura, 2025. "Growth with human capital accumulation and declining population: an augmented Solow model approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 45(1), pages 63-72.
  47. Sasaki, Hiroaki & Hori, Taichi & Hasegawa, Rokuhisa & Tajiri, Shigehiro & Nakamura, Kaito, 2023. "Mankiw-Romer-Weil Model with Declining Population: A Note," MPRA Paper 119457, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  48. repec:osf:socarx:yjveb_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
  49. Strauss, Ilan & Yang, Jangho, 2021. "Slowing investment rates in developing economies: Evidence from a Bayesian hierarchical model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  50. Rainer Kotschy & David E. Bloom & Andrew J. Scott & Rainer Franz Kotschy, 2024. "On the Limits of Chronological Age," CESifo Working Paper Series 11451, CESifo.
  51. Gerlagh, Reyer, 2022. "Climate, Technology, Family Size; on the Crossroad between Two Ultimate Externalities," Other publications TiSEM b6d5b02f-4624-46fd-836a-b, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  52. Fei Yang & Zhenlin Zhang, 2025. "Economic Drivers of China's Declining Fertility: The Role of Digital Inclusive Finance and Household Debt," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 675-696, April.
  53. Gerlagh, Reyer, 2022. "Climate, Technology, Family Size; on the Crossroad between Two Ultimate Externalities," Discussion Paper 2022-027, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  54. Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2023. "Growth with automation capital and declining population," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
  55. Hiroshi Inokuma & Juan M. Sanchez, 2023. "From Population Growth to TFP Growth," Working Papers 2023-006, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 09 Jun 2024.
  56. Ichiroh DAITOH & Hiroaki SASAKI, 2023. "At the Right Time:Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans Model with Declining Population," Discussion papers e-23-002, Graduate School of Economics , Kyoto University.
  57. Kazuo Mino & Hiroaki Sasaki, 2021. "Long-Run Consequences of Population Decline in an Economy with Exhaustible Natural Resources," KIER Working Papers 1062, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  58. Nicolo Maffei-Faccioli, 2020. "Identifying the Sources of the Slowdown in Growth: Demand vs. Supply," 2020 Papers pma2978, Job Market Papers.
  59. Trouvain, Florian, 2024. "Technology Adoption, Innovation, and Inequality in a Global World," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302377, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  60. Sasaki, Hiroaki & Shimizu, Kenji & Ishihara, Yousuke, 2025. "Automation, Economic Growth, and Wage Inequality: A Comment on Afonso (2024)," MPRA Paper 124420, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  61. Nicolò Maffei‐Faccioli, 2025. "Identifying the Sources of the Slowdown in Growth: Demand Versus Supply," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 181-194, March.
  62. Berna Serener & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Kwaku Addai, 2022. "Patents on Environmental Technologies, Financial Development, and Environmental Degradation in Sweden: Evidence from Novel Fourier-Based Approaches," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-19, December.
  63. Wim Naudé, 2022. "From the entrepreneurial to the ossified economy," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 46(1), pages 105-131.
  64. Strulik, Holger, 2024. "Long-run economic growth despite population decline," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  65. Naudé, Wim, 2023. "Melancholy Hues: The Futility of Green Growth and Degrowth, and the Inevitability of Societal Collapse," IZA Discussion Papers 16139, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  66. Naudé, Wim, 2023. "We Already Live in a Degrowth World, and We Do Not like It," IZA Discussion Papers 16191, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  67. Clara E. Piano, 2022. "The family and the state: a public choice perspective," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 35(3), pages 383-405, September.
  68. Gerlagh, Reyer, 2023. "Climate, technology, family size; on the crossroad between two ultimate externalities," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  69. Rudra Narayan Kushwaha & Taniya Ghosh, 2023. "The Effects of population growth on patents and economic growth dynamics," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2023-05, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
  70. Holger Strulik, 2024. "Higher education and the income-fertility nexus," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(1), pages 1-13, March.
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