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A Dynamic Macroeconomic Model for the US Telecommunications Industry

Author

Listed:
  • Elias Aravantinos

    (Stevens Institute of Technology, Wesley J. Howe School of Technology Management)

  • Fotios Harmantzis

Abstract

Dynamic models have been used in most businesses serving different purposes. The increased changes of the Telecommunications environment have created a dynamic industry emerging new dynamic economic models. We investigated the Telecom industry by conducting macroeconomic and infrastructure analysis. However, this paper uses recent data from the Telecommunications industry to reveal the infrastructure trends and predict the US wireless growth. The analysis is focused on several factors such as the infrastructure described by the Teledensity, the employment and the Telecom revenues in comparison with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The purpose of this analysis is to understand the industry’s behavior during a specific period of time, 1984-2003, propose an appropriate economic dynamic model, wireless oriented that identifies the current driving forces and detects the impact of some critical events and trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Elias Aravantinos & Fotios Harmantzis, 2005. "A Dynamic Macroeconomic Model for the US Telecommunications Industry," Macroeconomics 0506004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0506004
    Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 20. International Telecom study on technology trends and US wireless growth empirical analysis
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    File URL: https://econwpa.ub.uni-muenchen.de/econ-wp/mac/papers/0506/0506004.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lars-Hendrik Roller & Leonard Waverman, 2001. "Telecommunications Infrastructure and Economic Development: A Simultaneous Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(4), pages 909-923, September.
    2. Krolzig, Hans-Martin, 2001. "Business cycle measurement in the presence of structural change: international evidence," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 349-368.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Pengcheng & Peeta, Srinivas, 2014. "Dynamic and disequilibrium analysis of interdependent infrastructure systems," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 357-381.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic Economic Model; Macroeconomic Analysis; Telecom Act; Teledensity;

    JEL classification:

    • E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

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