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The effects of monetary policy shocks on wage inequality: evidence from Italy

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  • Elton Beqiraj
  • Stefano Di Bucchianico
  • Mario Di Serio
  • Michele Raitano

Abstract

We use high-frequency Italian administrative data on private-sector employees to examine the impact of monetary policy shocks on wage inequality from 1999 to 2018. We estimate the impulse responses of various wage distribution indicators to exogenous monetary policy shocks, focusing on mean wages, key percentiles, and the Gini index, and distinguishing impacts on monthly gross earnings and full-time equivalent daily wages. Our findings reveal that expansionary monetary policy shocks significantly increase mean wages and reduce wage inequality, in addition to their positive effects on employment and economic activity. These distributional gains mainly accrue to workers in the medium-low segments of the wage distribution. Comparing monthly and unitary wages reveals markedly different responses, indicating that the intensive margin plays a crucial role. Two additional findings emerge when distinguishing workers' subgroups. First, workers employed in small and medium-sized firms benefit comparatively more from expansionary monetary shocks, pointing to a more substantial easing of firms' financial constraints. Second, the wage gap between blue-collar and white-collar workers narrows.

Suggested Citation

  • Elton Beqiraj & Stefano Di Bucchianico & Mario Di Serio & Michele Raitano, 2026. "The effects of monetary policy shocks on wage inequality: evidence from Italy," CIMEO Working Paper Series 201, Centre for Investigation and Modelling of Experimental Observations (CIMEO).
    • Handle: RePEc:ter:wpaper:00201
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    JEL classification:

    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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