Прогнозування Реакції Економіки України На Економічні Шоки В Сусідніх Державах: Глобальна Векторна Авторегресійна Модель «Україна-Сусіди»
[Forecasting the Responses of Ukraine to Economic Shocks in the Neighbour-Countries: Global Vector Autoregressive Model “Ukraine-Neighbours”]
In this article the approach of Global Vector-Autoregressive (GVAR) models has been applied to Ukraine and its neighbour-countries which contiguous to Ukraine: Belarus, Bulgaria, Georgia, Moldova, Romania, Poland, Slovakia, Russia Federation, Turkey and Hungary. The goal of the research is to identify and forecast interactions among these economies, estimate import-export flows, discover the mechanism of the response of Ukraine to inflation and unemployment shocks and also of the shocks transmission mechanism to Ukrainian economy.
|Date of creation:||Jan 2012|
|Date of revision:||Nov 2012|
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Web page: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de
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