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Phillips curve in a small open economy: A time series exploration of North Cyprus

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  • Islam, Faridul
  • Shahbaz, Muhammad
  • Shabbir, Muhammad

Abstract

The paper explores the existence and the stability of Phillips curve for North Cyprus, a small developing economy, using time series data. ADF unit root test is employed to check for stationarity. ARDL and DOLS approaches to cointegration have been used to explore the long run relation and ECM to understand short run dynamics. The predictive properties DOLS are better than those of the conventional methods. The estimates point to the existence of Phillips curve both in the long and the short run. CUSUM and CUSUMsq tests confirm a stable relation.

Suggested Citation

  • Islam, Faridul & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Shabbir, Muhammad, 2011. "Phillips curve in a small open economy: A time series exploration of North Cyprus," MPRA Paper 28397, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:28397
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    Cited by:

    1. Mario BERGARA & Gerardo LICANDRO & Jorge PONCE, 2014. "Financial Stability Committees: An Institutional Response to New Challenges," Chapters of Challenges to Financial Stability – Perspective, Models and Policies book,in: Renata Karkowska (ed.), Challenges to Financial Stability – Perspective, Models and Policies,Volume II Towards the Financial Stability -Macroprudential Policy and Perspective, volume 2, chapter 10, pages 8-22 ASERS Publishing.
    2. Anna MATYSEK-JEDRYCH, 2014. "The Changing Nature of Central Banks Accountability for Financial Stability," Chapters of Challenges to Financial Stability – Perspective, Models and Policies book,in: Renata Karkowska (ed.), Challenges to Financial Stability – Perspective, Models and Policies,Volume II Towards the Financial Stability -Macroprudential Policy and Perspective, volume 2, chapter 11, pages 23-43 ASERS Publishing.
    3. Fumitaka Furuoka & Qaiser Munir & Hanafiah Harvey, 2013. "Does the Phillips curve exist in the Philippines?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(3), pages 2001-2016.
    4. Marinela BARBULESCU & Magdalena RADULESCU, 2014. "Price Stability versus Financial Stability in Romania," Chapters of Challenges to Financial Stability – Perspective, Models and Policies book,in: Renata Karkowska (ed.), Challenges to Financial Stability – Perspective, Models and Policies,Volume II Towards the Financial Stability -Macroprudential Policy and Perspective, volume 2, chapter 16, pages 123-151 ASERS Publishing.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Unemployment; ADF; Cointegration; DOLS;

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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