IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/124791.html

The relationships between political stability, arms imports, oil exports, and GHG emissions: a CS-DL approach for eight Gulf countries

Author

Listed:
  • Ben Youssef, Slim

Abstract

We study the relationships between arms imports, political stability, oil exports, gross domestic product, and greenhouse gas emissions by considering a panel of eight oil-exporting countries of the Gulf region and yearly data between 2000 and 2023. Since there is cross-sectional dependence between our considered variables, second-generation panel unit root and cointegration tests are used. In addition, we use the cross-sectional distributed lag (CS-DL) methodology to estimate our long-run coefficients. Several new and interesting results are deduced. Arms imports increase political stability and economic growth. Political stability increases oil exports and reduces greenhouse gas emissions. Oil exports reduce arms imports. Oil-exporting Gulf countries are advised to continue importing and plan the production of high-tech weapons to strengthen their political stability. This latter enables them to elaborate and realize energy efficiency and renewable energy strategies, transforming them into producing and exporting renewable energy countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Ben Youssef, Slim, 2025. "The relationships between political stability, arms imports, oil exports, and GHG emissions: a CS-DL approach for eight Gulf countries," MPRA Paper 124791, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:124791
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/124791/1/MPRA_paper_124791.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Vincenzo Bove & Claudio Deiana & Roberto Nistic�, 2018. "Global Arms Trade and Oil Dependence," The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 34(2), pages 272-299.
    2. Natalia Bailey & George Kapetanios & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016. "Exponent of Cross‐Sectional Dependence: Estimation and Inference," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 929-960, September.
    3. Stevy Sama, Jean Marie & Nna Nna, Théodore Patrice & Sapnken, Flavian Emmanuel & Tamba, Jean Gaston, 2025. "The role of political stability on crude oil production in Cameroon: Evidence from the ARDL and NARDL models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    4. He, Xiaoyu & Mei, Yixin, 2024. "Can arms breed peace? The consequence of arms imports from the US on civil wars," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 207-229.
    5. Noguera-Santaella, José, 2016. "Geopolitics and the oil price," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 301-309.
    6. Dizaji, Sajjad Faraji & Murshed, Syed Mansoob, 2024. "External arms embargoes and their implications for government expenditure, democracy and internal conflict," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    7. Pavel Yakovlev, 2007. "Arms Trade, Military Spending, And Economic Growth," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 317-338.
    8. Chudik, Alexander & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2015. "Common correlated effects estimation of heterogeneous dynamic panel data models with weakly exogenous regressors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(2), pages 393-420.
    9. Dutta, Anupam & Dutta, Probal, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and renewable energy asset prices: Implications for sustainable development," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 518-525.
    10. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2006. "Estimation and Inference in Large Heterogeneous Panels with a Multifactor Error Structure," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(4), pages 967-1012, July.
    11. Han, Yue & Bao, Mengqi & Niu, Yanfang & Rehman, Jamshaid ur, 2024. "Driving towards net zero emissions: The role of natural resources, government debt and political stability," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    12. Pierre-Louis Vézina, 2021. "The Oil Nouveau-Riche and Arms Imports," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 30(4), pages 349-369.
    13. Dervis Kirikkaleli & Aygün Osmanlı, 2023. "The Impact of Political Stability on Environmental Quality in the Long Run: The Case of Turkey," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-15, June.
    14. Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul, 2003. "Cointegration Vector Estimation by Panel DOLS and Long‐run Money Demand," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(5), pages 655-680, December.
    15. Muhammed Umar Aminu & Muhammed Umar Aminu & Abu Sufian Abu Bakar, 2016. "The Interactional Impact of Defense Expenditure and Arms Importation on Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 538-543.
    16. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2007. "A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2), pages 265-312.
    17. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Vanessa Smith, L. & Yamagata, Takashi, 2013. "Panel unit root tests in the presence of a multifactor error structure," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 175(2), pages 94-115.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ben Youssef, Slim, 2025. "The relationships between political stability, military expenditures, arms imports, and oil exports: a CS-DL approach for six Gulf countries," MPRA Paper 125364, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Chakraborty, Saptorshee Kanto & Mazzanti, Massimiliano, 2021. "Renewable electricity and economic growth relationship in the long run: Panel data econometric evidence from the OECD," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 330-341.
    3. Markus Eberhardt & Andrea Filippo Presbitero, 2013. "This Time They're Different: Heterogeneity;and Nonlinearity in the Relationship;between Debt and Growth," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 92, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    4. Diego-Ivan Ruge-Leiva, 2014. "International R&D spillovers and unobserved common shocks," Working Papers 08/14, Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social.
    5. Tullio Gregori & Marco Giansoldati, 2023. "Do current and capital account liberalizations affect economic growth in the long run?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 247-273, July.
    6. Chakraborty, Saptorshee Kanto & Mazzanti, Massimiliano, 2020. "Energy intensity and green energy innovation: Checking heterogeneous country effects in the OECD," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 328-343.
    7. Eibinger, Tobias & Deixelberger, Beate & Manner, Hans, 2024. "Panel data in environmental economics: Econometric issues and applications to IPAT models," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    8. Li, Raymond & Woo, Chi-Keung & Cox, Kevin, 2021. "How price-responsive is residential retail electricity demand in the US?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    9. Gangopadhyay, Partha & Jain, Siddharth & Bakry, Walid, 2022. "In search of a rational foundation for the massive IT boom in the Australian banking industry: Can the IT boom really drive relationship banking?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    10. Namahoro, J.P. & Wu, Q. & Su, H., 2023. "Wind energy, industrial-economic development and CO2 emissions nexus: Do droughts matter?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
    11. Ruge-Leiva, Diego-Ivan, 2015. "The Online Supplement to “International R&D Spillovers and other Unobserved Common Spillovers and Shocks”," MPRA Paper 62205, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Muhammad Sadiq & Syed Tauseef Hassan & Irfan Khan & Mohammad Mafizur Rahman, 2024. "Policy uncertainty, renewable energy, corruption and CO2 emissions nexus in BRICS-1 countries: a panel CS-ARDL approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(8), pages 21595-21621, August.
    13. Quynh Chau Pham Holland & Benjamin Liu & Eduardo Roca, 2019. "International funding cost and heterogeneous mortgage interest-rate pass-through: a bank-level analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 1255-1289, October.
    14. Elisabet Rodriguez Llorian & Janelle Mann, 2022. "Exploring the technology–healthcare expenditure nexus: a panel error correction approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 3061-3086, June.
    15. Mirkina, Irina, 2018. "FDI and sanctions: An empirical analysis of short- and long-run effects," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 198-225.
    16. Namahoro, J.P. & Nzabanita, J. & Wu, Q., 2021. "The impact of total and renewable energy consumption on economic growth in lower and middle- and upper-middle-income groups: Evidence from CS-DL and CCEMG analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    17. Zhao, Wen-Xuan & Samour, Ahmed & Yi, Kefu & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh, 2023. "Do technological innovation, natural resources and stock market development promote environmental sustainability? Novel evidence based on the load capacity factor," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    18. Masako Ikegami & Zijian Wang, 2024. "Does energy technology R&D save energy in OECD countries?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-22, April.
    19. Bosah, Philip Chukwunonso & Li, Shixiang & Ampofo, Gideon Kwaku Minua, 2024. "Natural resource rents and financial inclusion nexus: Evidence from Africa," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    20. repec:cfe:wpcefa:2015_10 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Elias Oikarinen & Steven Bourassa & Martin Hoesli & Janne Engblom, 2017. "Revisiting the House Price-Income Relationship," ERES eres2017_173, European Real Estate Society (ERES).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • Q37 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Issues in International Trade
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:124791. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.