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The Conventional Treatment of Seasonality in Business Cycle Analysis: Does it Create Distortions?

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  • Lawrence J. Christiano
  • Richard M. Todd

Abstract

'No.' So says one model that is broadly consistent with postwar U.S. seasonal and business cycle data.

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  • Lawrence J. Christiano & Richard M. Todd, 2000. "The Conventional Treatment of Seasonality in Business Cycle Analysis: Does it Create Distortions?," NBER Technical Working Papers 0266, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberte:0266
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    Cited by:

    1. Casey B. Mulligan, 2010. "Does Labor Supply Matter During a Recession? Evidence from the Seasonal Cycle," NBER Working Papers 16357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Lilia Maliar & Serguei Maliar & John B. Taylor & Inna Tsener, 2020. "A tractable framework for analyzing a class of nonstationary Markov models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(4), pages 1289-1323, November.
    3. Christiano, Lawrence J. & Vigfusson, Robert J., 2003. "Maximum likelihood in the frequency domain: the importance of time-to-plan," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 789-815, May.
    4. Antonio Matas-Mir & Denise R. Osborn & Marco J. Lombardi, 2008. "The effect of seasonal adjustment on the properties of business cycle regimes," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 257-278.
    5. Serguei Maliar & John Taylor & Lilia Maliar, 2016. "The Impact of Alternative Transitions to Normalized Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 794, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Mulligan, Casey B., 2011. "Does Labor Supply Matter During a Recession? Evidence from the Seasonal Cycle," Working Papers 243, The University of Chicago Booth School of Business, George J. Stigler Center for the Study of the Economy and the State.
    7. A Matas-Mir & D R Osborn, 2003. "Seasonal Adjustment and the Detection of Business Cycle Phases," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0304, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    8. Yoshito Funashima, 2012. "The effects of public investment smoothing as a stimulus measure on construction industry in Japan," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 1992-2006.
    9. Jung, Yong-Gook, 2013. "An inference about the length of the time-to-build period," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 42-54.
    10. Saijo, Hikaru, 2013. "Estimating DSGE models using seasonally adjusted and unadjusted data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(1), pages 22-35.
    11. Wen, Yi, 2002. "The business cycle effects of Christmas," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(6), pages 1289-1314, September.
    12. Yong-gook Jung, 2013. "A new strategy to estimate time-to-build completion rates," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1073-1081.
    13. Edge, Rochelle M., 2007. "Time-to-build, time-to-plan, habit-persistence, and the liquidity effect," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 1644-1669, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • C0 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General
    • E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General

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