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Identification of cointegrating relations in I(2) vector autoregressive models

Author

Listed:
  • Paolo Paruolo

    (Department of Economics, University of Insubria, Italy)

  • Rocco Mosconi

    (Dipartimento di Ingegneria Gestionale, Politecnico di Milano)

Abstract

This paper discusses identification within a new parametrization for I(2) systems, where the integral and proportional control cointegrating relations are not necessarily orthogonal. The new parametrization, while equivalent to previously proposed ones, gives more flexibility in choosing the variables to include in first differences in the integral and proportional control term. We discuss the joint identification of the cointegrating relations, providing rank and order conditions. We discuss likelihood estimation, and propose a simple alternating algorithm for likelihood-maximization, under the cases of under- exact- and over-identification. An illustration on US consumption is also

Suggested Citation

  • Paolo Paruolo & Rocco Mosconi, 2010. "Identification of cointegrating relations in I(2) vector autoregressive models," Economics and Quantitative Methods qf1007, Department of Economics, University of Insubria.
  • Handle: RePEc:ins:quaeco:qf1007
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    File URL: https://www.eco.uninsubria.it/RePEc/pdf/QF2010_07.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Søren Johansen & Rocco Mosconi & Bent Nielsen, 2000. "Cointegration analysis in the presence of structural breaks in the deterministic trend," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 3(2), pages 216-249.
    2. Kongsted, Hans Christian, 2005. "Testing the nominal-to-real transformation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 205-225, February.
    3. Rahbek, Anders & Christian Kongsted, Hans & Jorgensen, Clara, 1999. "Trend stationarity in the I(2) cointegration model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 265-289, June.
    4. Boswijk, H. Peter, 2010. "Mixed Normal Inference On Multicointegration," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(5), pages 1565-1576, October.
    5. Granger, C W J & Lee, T H, 1989. "Investigation of Production, Sales and Inventory Relationships Using Multicointegration and Non-symmetric Error Correction Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 4(S), pages 145-159, Supplemen.
    6. Kitamura, Yuichi, 1995. "Estimation of Cointegrated Systems with I(2) Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(1), pages 1-24, February.
    7. Rothenberg, Thomas J, 1971. "Identification in Parametric Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 39(3), pages 577-591, May.
    8. Søren Johansen & Rocco Mosconi & Bent Nielsen, 2000. "Cointegration analysis in the presence of structural breaks in the deterministic trend," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 3(2), pages 216-249.
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