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Fragility of reputation and clustering of risk-taking

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Abstract

Concerns about constructing and maintaining good reputations are known to reduce borrowers' excessive risk-taking. However, I find that the self-discipline induced by these concerns is fragile, and can break down without obvious changes in economic fundamentals. Furthermore, in the aggregate, breakdowns are clustered among borrowers with intermediate and good reputations, which can exacerbate an economy's weakness and contribute to a broad economic crisis. These results come from an aggregate dynamic global game analysis of reputation formation in credit markets. The selection of a unique equilibrium is accomplished by assuming that borrowers have incomplete information about economic fundamentals.

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  • Guillermo Ordoñez, 2009. "Fragility of reputation and clustering of risk-taking," Staff Report 431, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedmsr:431
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    Cited by:

    1. Gary Gorton & Guillermo Ordo?ez, 2014. "Collateral Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(2), pages 343-378, February.
    2. Guillermo Ordoñez, 2018. "Sustainable Shadow Banking," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 10(1), pages 33-56, January.
    3. Guillermo L. Ordonez, 2010. "Confidence Banking," 2010 Meeting Papers 310, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Bernardita Vial & Felipe Zurita, 2013. "Reputation-Driven Industry Dynamics," Documentos de Trabajo 436, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    5. Ordoñez, Guillermo, 2018. "Confidence banking and strategic default," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 101-113.

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    Keywords

    Risk;

    JEL classification:

    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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