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Do sovereign wealth funds dampen the negative effects of commodity price volatility?

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  • Kamiar Mohaddes
  • Mehdi Raissi

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of commodity terms of trade (CToT) volatility on economic growth (and its sources) in a sample of 69 commodity-dependent countries, and assesses the role of Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) and quality of institutions in their long-term growth performance. Using annual data over the period 1981-2014, we employ the Cross-Sectionally augmented Autoregressive Distributive Lag (CS-ARDL) methodology for estimation to account for cross-country heterogeneity, cross-sectional dependence, and feedback effects. We find that while CToT volatility exerts a negative impact on economic growth (operating through lower accumulation of physical capital and lower TFP), the average impact is dampened if a country has a SWF and better institutional quality (hence a more stable government expenditure).

Suggested Citation

  • Kamiar Mohaddes & Mehdi Raissi, 2017. "Do sovereign wealth funds dampen the negative effects of commodity price volatility?," CAMA Working Papers 2017-11, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2017-11
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. repec:eee:enepol:v:126:y:2019:i:c:p:131-144 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Mohaddes, Kamiar & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2017. "Oil prices and the global economy: Is it different this time around?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 315-325.
    3. repec:eee:ecmode:v:71:y:2018:i:c:p:289-304 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Elkhan Richard Sadik-Zada, Andrea Gatto & Andrea Gatto, 2019. "Determinants of the Public Debt and the Role of the Natural Resources: A Cross-Country Analysis," Working Papers 2019.04, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    5. Kamiar Mohaddes & Jeffrey B. Nugent & Hoda Selim, 2018. "Reforming fiscal institutions in resource-rich Arab economies: Policy proposals," CAMA Working Papers 2018-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    6. Jarrett, Uchechukwu & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Mohtadi, Hamid, 2019. "Oil price volatility, financial institutions and economic growth," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 131-144.
    7. Hoda Youssef & Ibrahim Elbadawi & Raimundo Soto, 2018. "Sovereign Wealth Funds and Macroeconomic Stabilization in the Home Economy," Working Papers 1175, Economic Research Forum, revised 29 Mar 2008.
    8. Amany El-Anshasy & Kamiar Mohaddes & Jeffrey B. Nugent, 2015. "Oil, Volatility and Institutions:Cross-Country Evidence from Major Oil Producers," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1523, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    9. Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2019. "Macroeconomic Institutions: Lessons from World Experience for MENA Countries," Working Papers 1311, Economic Research Forum, revised 21 Aug 2019.
    10. repec:eee:eneeco:v:78:y:2019:i:c:p:481-493 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; commodity prices; volatility; sovereign wealth funds;

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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