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The disciplining effect of supervisory scrutiny in the EU-wide stress test

Author

Listed:
  • Kok, Christoffer
  • Müller, Carola
  • Ongena, Steven
  • Pancaro, Cosimo

Abstract

Using a difference-in-differences approach and relying on confidential supervisory data and an unique proprietary data set available at the European Central Bank related to the 2016 EU-wide stress test, this paper presents novel empirical evidence that supervisory scrutiny associated to stress testing has a disciplining effect on bank risk. We find that banks that participated in the 2016 EU-wide stress test subsequently reduced their credit risk relative to banks that were not part of this exercise. Relying on new metrics for supervisory scrutiny that measure the quantity, potential impact, and duration of interactions between banks and supervisors during the stress test, we find that the disciplining effect is stronger for banks subject to more intrusive supervisory scrutiny during the exercise. JEL Classification: G11, G21, G28

Suggested Citation

  • Kok, Christoffer & Müller, Carola & Ongena, Steven & Pancaro, Cosimo, 2021. "The disciplining effect of supervisory scrutiny in the EU-wide stress test," Working Paper Series 2551, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20212551
    Note: 508948
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    2. Hobelsberger, Karin & Kok, Christoffer & Mongelli, Francesco Paolo, 2022. "A tale of three crises: synergies between ECB tasks," Occasional Paper Series 305, European Central Bank.
    3. Andrea Bellucci & Gianluca Gucciardi, 2023. "A Turning Point for Banking: Unravelling the Changing Landscape of Banking Activity in Europe since the COVID-19 pandemic," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 183, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    4. Durrani, Agha & Ongena, Steven & Ponte Marques, Aurea, 2022. "The certification role of the EU-wide stress testing exercises in the stock market. What can we learn from the stress tests (2014-2021)?," Working Paper Series 2711, European Central Bank.
    5. Lubberink, Martien, 2022. "Max headroom: Discretionary capital buffers and bank risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    6. Paul Konietschke & Steven Ongena & Aurea Ponte Marques, 2022. "Stress tests and capital requirement disclosures: do they impact banks' lending and risk-taking decisions?," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-60, Swiss Finance Institute.
    7. Hernández, Javier & Población García, Francisco Javier & Suárez, Nuria & Tarancón, Javier, 2022. "A study on the EBA stress test results: influence of bank, portfolio, and country-level characteristics," Working Paper Series 2648, European Central Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    banking regulation; banking supervision; credit risk; internal models; stress testing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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