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The Global Welfare Impact of China: Trade Integration and Technological Change

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  • Levchenko, Andrei
  • di Giovanni, Julian
  • Zhang, Jing

Abstract

This paper evaluates the global welfare impact of China's trade integration and technological change in a multi-country quantitative Ricardian-Heckscher-Ohlin model. We simulate two alternative growth scenarios: a "balanced" one in which China's productivity grows at the same rate in each sector, and an "unbalanced" one in which China's comparative disadvantage sectors catch up disproportionately faster to the world productivity frontier. Contrary to a well-known conjecture (Samuelson 2004), the large majority of countries experience significantly larger welfare gains when China's productivity growth is biased towards its comparative disadvantage sectors. This finding is driven by the inherently multilateral nature of world trade.

Suggested Citation

  • Levchenko, Andrei & di Giovanni, Julian & Zhang, Jing, 2013. "The Global Welfare Impact of China: Trade Integration and Technological Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 9683, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:9683
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; International trade; Productivity growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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