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Bilateral Exchange Rates and Jobs

Author

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  • Bekkers, Eddy
  • Francois, Joseph

Abstract

We study the labor market effects of bilateral exchange rate realignment. We place emphasis on the composition of trade, the role of in- termediates, and the underlying conditions of the labor market. Employment effects hinge on the fraction exported to and imported from the trading partner. A larger fraction exported to and a smaller fraction imported from the trading partner make it more likely that appreciation has beneficial effects. Furthermore, more sticky price expectations in wage formation, a smaller fraction of intermediates in the production process, and a lower rate of importer pass through make it more likely that appreciation of the exchange rate of the trade partner has positive employment effects. At a more technical level, the scope for substitution away from higher priced inputs, either toward other sources of supply, or toward value added, is also important to the direction and magnitude of changes in employment.

Suggested Citation

  • Bekkers, Eddy & Francois, Joseph, 2012. "Bilateral Exchange Rates and Jobs," CEPR Discussion Papers 8906, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8906
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bilateral exchange rates; devaluation; exchange rates and trade; trade and employment;

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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