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Emerging market capital flows the role of fund manager portfolio allocation

Author

Listed:
  • Bush Georgia
  • Cañón Salazar Carlos Iván
  • Gray Daniel

Abstract

We exploit individual security holdings data for global mutual funds to distinguish between two reasons why a fund's holdings of emerging market economy (EME) bonds might change: (i) the amount invested in the fund changes and (ii) the fund manager changes portfolio allocations. We find that funds' responsiveness to global macroeconomic conditions, ''push factors'', is explained by investor flow decisions. Conversely, funds' responsiveness to local macroeconomic conditions, ''pull factors'', is explained by manager reallocation decisions. We also identify other institutional factors which impact reallocation decisions: their leverage, their benchmark, and risk appetite (funds reallocate towards safer EMEs when global risk increases).

Suggested Citation

  • Bush Georgia & Cañón Salazar Carlos Iván & Gray Daniel, 2021. "Emerging market capital flows the role of fund manager portfolio allocation," Working Papers 2021-13, Banco de México.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdm:wpaper:2021-13
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    mutual funds; capital flows; emerging markets; portfolio allocation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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