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Public sentiment in times of terror

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  • Ashani Amarasinghe

    (SoDa Laboratories, Monash University)

Abstract

Do citizens hold their government accountable for the delivery of public goods? The literature has traditionally answered this question using temporally aggregated voting data. This paper proposes an alternative, fine-grained approach to explore the short term dynamics underlying public sentiments towards governments. Focusing on terror attacks as a government accountability shock, and using high-frequency, text-based event data to quantify public sentiments, I find that the average level of Public Discontent increases by approximately 14% in the 11 months following a successful terror attack. This effect is not merely driven by fear, and is influenced by information on government competence and attack-specific features. Citizens are less reproachful if the government made a reasonable effort to keep the public safe, and for events that may be beyond the government’s control. Interestingly, young leaders and new leaders demonstrate an ability to mobilize the masses to rally ’round the flag in the aftermath of terror attacks.

Suggested Citation

  • Ashani Amarasinghe, 2021. "Public sentiment in times of terror," SoDa Laboratories Working Paper Series 2021-08, Monash University, SoDa Laboratories.
  • Handle: RePEc:ajr:sodwps:2021-08
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    Cited by:

    1. Kaustav Das & Atisha Ghosh & Pushkar Maitra, 2021. "Exogenous Shocks and Electoral Outcomes: Re-examining the Rational Voter Hypothesis," Monash Economics Working Papers 2021-13, Monash University, Department of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Terrorism; public discontent; government; leader.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • H41 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Public Goods
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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