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The link between economic growth and growth volatility

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  • Shu-Chin Lin
  • Dong-Hyeon Kim

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and growth volatility through simultaneous equations system. By employing the identification through heteroskedasticity method of Rigobon (Rev Econ Stat 85:777–792, 2003 ) and using a panel of 158 countries over the period 1960–2010, we find that output volatility is detrimental to economic growth, suggesting that stabilization policies to mitigate short-run economic fluctuations contribute to long-run economic growth. And economic growth accelerates output variability, supporting the feedback effects from growth to the volatility. The evidence is robust to a number of sensitivity tests. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014

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  • Shu-Chin Lin & Dong-Hyeon Kim, 2014. "The link between economic growth and growth volatility," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 43-63, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:43-63
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0680-y
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    2. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M. & Valencia, Oscar M., 2023. "Does economic complexity reduce the probability of a fiscal crisis?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    3. Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Lin, Shu-Chin & Suen, Yu-Bo, 2016. "Trade, growth and growth volatility: New panel evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 384-399.
    4. Marfatia, Hardik A., 2015. "Monetary policy's time-varying impact on the US bond markets: Role of financial stress and risks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 103-123.
    5. Jemberu Lulie Mekonnen & Ali Suut Dogruel, 2018. "Growth and Volatility Nexus in Sub‐Saharan Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 30(2), pages 175-186, June.
    6. Zhang, Qi & Hu, Yi & Jiao, Jianbin & Wang, Shouyang, 2023. "Is refined oil price regulation a “shock absorber” for crude oil price shocks?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    7. Francis W. Ahking, 2019. "The Welfare Cost of Business Cycles at the States’ Levels," Working papers 2019-03, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    8. Maggioni, Daniela & Lo Turco, Alessia & Gallegati, Mauro, 2016. "Does product complexity matter for firms' output volatility?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 94-109.
    9. Daniela MAGGIONI & Alessia LO TURCO & Mauro GALLEGATI, 2014. "Does export complexity matter for firms' output volatility?," Working Papers 407, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    10. Onyimadu, Chukwuemeka, 2016. "Macroeconomic Volatility and Economic Growth: Evidence from Selected African Countries," MPRA Paper 77200, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Jiang, Yong & Zhou, Zhongbao & Liu, Qing & Lin, Ling & Xiao, Helu, 2020. "How do oil price shocks affect the output volatility of the U.S. energy mining industry? The roles of structural oil price shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; Growth volatility; Simultaneous equations models; Identification through heteroskedasticity; C33; N10; O50;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • N10 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • O50 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - General

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