IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/pacfin/v79y2023ics0927538x23000379.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spillover effects between internet financial industry and traditional financial industry: Evidence from the Chinese stock market

Author

Listed:
  • Zheng, Yingfei
  • Shen, Anran
  • Li, Ruihai
  • Yang, Yuhong
  • Wang, Shengjin
  • Cheng, Lee-Young

Abstract

In order to explore the connectedness of financial industries in the internet era, this research measures the spillover effects between internet financial industry and each traditional financial industry. The results show that the spillover effects between internet financial industry and each traditional financial industry have time-varying characteristics, and the return spillover effects mainly occur in the short term while the volatility spillover effects mainly occur in the long term. By further exploring the spillover direction, it demonstrates that the securities industry is a net spillover exporter in the financial system, while the internet financial industry is a net spillover receiver. Moreover, cross-quantilogram analysis shows that the directional predictabilities of both return and volatility are significant when one industry is in the worst 10% situation. It confirms that the inter-industry spillover effects increase as fundamental or market uncertainty rises.

Suggested Citation

  • Zheng, Yingfei & Shen, Anran & Li, Ruihai & Yang, Yuhong & Wang, Shengjin & Cheng, Lee-Young, 2023. "Spillover effects between internet financial industry and traditional financial industry: Evidence from the Chinese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:79:y:2023:i:c:s0927538x23000379
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2023.101971
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X23000379
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.pacfin.2023.101971?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. N. Bloom, 2016. "Fluctuations in uncertainty," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 4.
    2. Diebold, Francis X. & Yılmaz, Kamil, 2014. "On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 119-134.
    3. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Pittis, Nikitas & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2002. "Testing for Causality-in-Variance: An Application to the East Asian Markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(3), pages 235-245, July.
    4. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Mirko Wiederholt, 2015. "Business Cycle Dynamics under Rational Inattention," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 82(4), pages 1502-1532.
    5. Zhong, Weiqiang & Jiang, Tingfeng, 2021. "Can internet finance alleviate the exclusiveness of traditional finance? evidence from Chinese P2P lending markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    6. Billio, Monica & Getmansky, Mila & Lo, Andrew W. & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2012. "Econometric measures of connectedness and systemic risk in the finance and insurance sectors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(3), pages 535-559.
    7. Huang, Wei-Qiang & Wang, Dan, 2018. "A return spillover network perspective analysis of Chinese financial institutions’ systemic importance," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 405-421.
    8. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Rahman, R. Eki & Hutabarat, Akhis R., 2020. "Do financial technology firms influence bank performance?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    9. Lubos Pástor & Pietro Veronesi, 2012. "Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(4), pages 1219-1264, August.
    10. Calvo, Guillermo A, 1988. "Servicing the Public Debt: The Role of Expectations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(4), pages 647-661, September.
    11. Raffaela Giordano & Marcello Pericoli & Pietro Tommasino, 2013. "Pure or Wake-up-Call Contagion? Another Look at the EMU Sovereign Debt Crisis," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(2), pages 131-160, June.
    12. Chen, Na & Jin, Xiu, 2020. "Industry risk transmission channels and the spillover effects of specific determinants in China’s stock market: A spatial econometrics approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    13. Franklin Allen & James McAndrews & Philip Strahan, 2002. "E-Finance: An Introduction," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 22(1), pages 5-27, August.
    14. Linton, O. & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2007. "The quantilogram: With an application to evaluating directional predictability," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 250-282, November.
    15. Peter Gomber & Jascha-Alexander Koch & Michael Siering, 2017. "Digital Finance and FinTech: current research and future research directions," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 87(5), pages 537-580, July.
    16. Wu, Shan & Tong, Mu & Yang, Zhongyi & Zhang, Tianyi, 2021. "Interconnectedness, systemic risk, and the influencing factors: Some evidence from China’s financial institutions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 569(C).
    17. Huang, Jie & Zhang, Wenshuang & Ruan, Weihua, 2019. "Spatial spillover and impact factors of the internet finance development in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 527(C).
    18. Gonzalez, Laura & Loureiro, Yuliya Komarova, 2014. "When can a photo increase credit? The impact of lender and borrower profiles on online peer-to-peer loans," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(C), pages 44-58.
    19. Kim, Bong-Han & Kim, Hyeongwoo & Lee, Bong-Soo, 2015. "Spillover effects of the U.S. financial crisis on financial markets in emerging Asian countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 192-210.
    20. Fang, Libing & Sun, Boyang & Li, Huijing & Yu, Honghai, 2018. "Systemic risk network of Chinese financial institutions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 190-206.
    21. Dong, Jichang & Yin, Lijun & Liu, Xiaoting & Hu, Meiting & Li, Xiuting & Liu, Lei, 2020. "Impact of internet finance on the performance of commercial banks in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    22. Dimitriou, Dimitrios & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Simos, Theodore, 2013. "Global financial crisis and emerging stock market contagion: A multivariate FIAPARCH–DCC approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 46-56.
    23. Laura E. Kodres & Matthew Pritsker, 2002. "A Rational Expectations Model of Financial Contagion," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(2), pages 769-799, April.
    24. Chiao Yi Chang & Fu Shuen Shie, 2011. "The Relation Between Relative Order Imbalance and Intraday Futures Returns: An Application of the Quantile Regression Model to Taiwan," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 69-87, May.
    25. Luchtenberg, Kimberly F. & Vu, Quang Viet, 2015. "The 2008 financial crisis: Stock market contagion and its determinants," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 178-203.
    26. Franklin Allen & Elena Carletti, 2013. "What Is Systemic Risk?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(s1), pages 121-127, August.
    27. Bertrand Candelon & Sessi Tokpavi, 2016. "A Nonparametric Test for Granger Causality in Distribution With Application to Financial Contagion," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 240-253, April.
    28. Beirne, John & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Schulze-Ghattas, Marianne & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2010. "Global and regional spillovers in emerging stock markets: A multivariate GARCH-in-mean analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 250-260, September.
    29. Han, Heejoon & Linton, Oliver & Oka, Tatsushi & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2016. "The cross-quantilogram: Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 251-270.
    30. Hirshleifer, David & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar & Titman, Sheridan, 1994. "Security Analysis and Trading Patterns When Some Investors Receive Information before Others," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(5), pages 1665-1698, December.
    31. Connolly, Robert A. & Wang, F. Albert, 2003. "International equity market comovements: Economic fundamentals or contagion?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 23-43, January.
    32. Rodriguez, Juan Carlos, 2007. "Measuring financial contagion: A Copula approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 401-423, June.
    33. Mirko Wiederholt, 2010. "rational inattention," The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics,, Palgrave Macmillan.
    34. Laurini, Márcio P. & Furlani, Luiz G. C. & Portugual, Marcelo S., 2008. "Empirical Market Microstructure: An Analysis Of The Brl/Us$ Exchange Rate Market Using High-Frequency Data," Insper Working Papers wpe_103, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    35. Blasques, Francisco & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, Andre & Schaumburg, Julia, 2016. "Spillover dynamics for systemic risk measurement using spatial financial time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 195(2), pages 211-223.
    36. Mobarek, Asma & Mollah, Sabur & Keasey, Kevin, 2014. "A cross-country analysis of herd behavior in Europe," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 107-127.
    37. Jiang, Kangqi & Chen, Zhongfei & Rughoo, Aarti & Zhou, Mengling, 2022. "Internet finance and corporate investment: Evidence from China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    38. Yarovaya, Larisa & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Goodell, John W. & Lucey, Brian & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Rethinking financial contagion: Information transmission mechanism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    39. Su, Zhi & Fang, Tong & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Understanding stock market volatility: What is the role of U.S. uncertainty?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 582-590.
    40. King, Mervyn A & Wadhwani, Sushil, 1990. "Transmission of Volatility between Stock Markets," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(1), pages 5-33.
    41. Jouini, Jamel, 2013. "Return and volatility interaction between oil prices and stock markets in Saudi Arabia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 1124-1144.
    42. Bertrand Candelon & Sessi Tokpavi, 2016. "A Nonparametric Test for Granger Causality in Distribution With Application to Financial Contagion," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 240-253, April.
    43. Jozef Baruník & Tomáš Křehlík, 2018. "Measuring the Frequency Dynamics of Financial Connectedness and Systemic Risk," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 271-296.
    44. Franklin Allen & Elena Carletti, 2013. "What Is Systemic Risk?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45, pages 121-127, August.
    45. Liu, Yuntong & Wei, Yu & Wang, Qian & Liu, Yi, 2022. "International stock market risk contagion during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    46. Laurini, Márcio Poletti & Furlani, Luiz Gustavo Cassilatti & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2008. "Empirical market microstructure: An analysis of the BRL/US$ exchange rate market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 247-265, December.
    47. He, Xie & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2021. "Is volatility spillover enough for investor decisions? A new viewpoint from higher moments," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    48. Cheng, Maoyong & Qu, Yang, 2020. "Does bank FinTech reduce credit risk? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    49. Zeng, Sheng & Liu, Xinchun & Li, Xiafei & Wei, Qi & Shang, Yue, 2019. "Information dominance among hedging assets: Evidence from return and volatility directional spillovers in time and frequency domains," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    50. Chen, Zhenlong & Zheng, Changmei & Hao, Xiaozhen, 2022. "Volatility spillover effect between internet finance and banks," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 512-519.
    51. Abhijit V. Banerjee, 1992. "A Simple Model of Herd Behavior," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(3), pages 797-817.
    52. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    53. Patton, Andrew J., 2012. "A review of copula models for economic time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 4-18.
    54. Li, Jie & Wu, Yu & Xiao, Jing Jian, 2020. "The impact of digital finance on household consumption: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 317-326.
    55. Balli, Faruk & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & de Bruin, Anne, 2019. "Spillover network of commodity uncertainties," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 914-927.
    56. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer, 2015. "Effect of Global Shocks and Volatility on Herd Behavior in an Emerging Market: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(1), pages 140-159, January.
    57. Nobuhiro Kiyotaki & John Moore, 2002. "Balance-Sheet Contagion," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(2), pages 46-50, May.
    58. Rongda Chen & Huiwen Chen & Chenglu Jin & Bo Wei & Lean Yu, 2020. "Linkages and Spillovers between Internet Finance and Traditional Finance: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(6), pages 1196-1210, May.
    59. Murinde, Victor & Rizopoulos, Efthymios & Zachariadis, Markos, 2022. "The impact of the FinTech revolution on the future of banking: Opportunities and risks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mao, Fengfu & Wang, Yuanfan & Zhu, Mengsi, 2023. "Digital financial inclusion, traditional finance system and household entrepreneurship," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yarovaya, Larisa & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Goodell, John W. & Lucey, Brian & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Rethinking financial contagion: Information transmission mechanism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Pacelli, Vincenzo & Miglietta, Federica & Foglia, Matteo, 2022. "The extreme risk connectedness of the new financial system: European evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    3. Li, Jingyu & Yao, Yanzhen & Li, Jianping & Zhu, Xiaoqian, 2019. "Network-based estimation of systematic and idiosyncratic contagion: The case of Chinese financial institutions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Feng, Yusen & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhu, You & Xie, Chi, 2023. "Systemic risk spillovers and the determinants in the stock markets of the Belt and Road countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    5. Wu, Fei & Zhang, Dayong & Zhang, Zhiwei, 2019. "Connectedness and risk spillovers in China’s stock market: A sectoral analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(3).
    6. McIver, Ron P. & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Financial crises and the dynamics of the spillovers between the U.S. and BRICS stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    7. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hernandez, Jose Areola & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Zakaria, Muhammad, 2018. "A global network topology of stock markets: Transmitters and receivers of spillover effects," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 2136-2153.
    8. Xu, Hao & Li, Songsong, 2023. "What impacts foreign capital flows to China's stock markets? Evidence from financial risk spillover networks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 559-577.
    9. Hanif, Waqas & Mensi, Walid & Alomari, Mohammad & Andraz, Jorge Miguel, 2023. "Downside and upside risk spillovers between precious metals and currency markets: Evidence from before and during the COVID-19 crisis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    10. Abduraimova, Kumushoy, 2022. "Contagion and tail risk in complex financial networks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    11. Yizhuo Zhang & Rui Chen & Ding Ma, 2020. "A Weighted and Directed Perspective of Global Stock Market Connectedness: A Variance Decomposition and GERGM Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-23, June.
    12. Ahmad, Wasim & Tiwari, Shiv Ratan & Wadhwani, Akshay & Khan, Mohammad Azeem & Bekiros, Stelios, 2023. "Financial networks and systemic risk vulnerabilities: A tale of Indian banks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    13. Jiang, Kangqi & Chen, Zhongfei & Rughoo, Aarti & Zhou, Mengling, 2022. "Internet finance and corporate investment: Evidence from China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    14. Piccotti, Louis R., 2017. "Financial contagion risk and the stochastic discount factor," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 230-248.
    15. Alomari, Mohammad & Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Extreme return spillovers and connectedness between crude oil and precious metals futures markets: Implications for portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    16. Su, Zhi & Liu, Peng & Fang, Tong, 2022. "Uncertainty matters in US financial information spillovers: Evidence from a directed acyclic graph approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 229-242.
    17. Debarsy, Nicolas & Dossougoin, Cyrille & Ertur, Cem & Gnabo, Jean-Yves, 2018. "Measuring sovereign risk spillovers and assessing the role of transmission channels: A spatial econometrics approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 21-45.
    18. Amar, Amine Ben & Goutte, Stéphane & Isleimeyyeh, Mohammad & Benkraiem, Ramzi, 2022. "Commodity markets dynamics: What do cross-commodities over different nearest-to-maturities tell us?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    19. Foglia, Matteo & Addi, Abdelhamid & Wang, Gang-Jin & Angelini, Eliana, 2022. "Bearish Vs Bullish risk network: A Eurozone financial system analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    20. Xu, Qiuhua & Yan, Haoyang & Zhao, Tianyu, 2022. "Contagion effect of systemic risk among industry sectors in China’s stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Internet finance; Industry spillover effects; Time-frequency domain; Cross-quantilogram; Uncertainty shock;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:79:y:2023:i:c:s0927538x23000379. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/pacfin .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.