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Oil price shocks and unemployment in Central and Eastern Europe

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  • Cuestas, Juan Carlos
  • Gil-Alana, Luis A.

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to examine the effect of oil price movements on unemployment in Central and Eastern Europe. We do this by disentangling oil prices movements by their sign and from there we analyse the separate effects of positive and negative movements of oil prices on unemployment rates. We find that, although oil prices and unemployment are not correlated very much in the short run, the effect of oil price shocks on the natural rate of unemployment goes in the same direction, so that increases or decreases in oil prices increase or decrease the natural rate of unemployment.

Suggested Citation

  • Cuestas, Juan Carlos & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2018. "Oil price shocks and unemployment in Central and Eastern Europe," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 164-173.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosys:v:42:y:2018:i:1:p:164-173
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2017.05.005
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    9. Sina J. Ogede & Emmanuel O. George & Ibrahim A. Adekunle, 2020. "Exploring the Inflationary Effect of Oil Price Volatility in Africa's Oil Exporting Countries," Research Africa Network Working Papers 20/020, Research Africa Network (RAN).
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    11. Yu, Hongchu & Fang, Zhixiang & Lu, Feng & Murray, Alan T. & Zhang, Hengcai & Peng, Peng & Mei, Qiang & Chen, Jinhai, 2019. "Impact of oil price fluctuations on tanker maritime network structure and traffic flow changes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 390-403.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Unemployment rates; Oil price shocks; Central and Eastern Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E39 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Other
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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