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Distributive cycles and endogenous technical change in a BoPC growth model

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  • Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J.
  • Sordi, Serena

Abstract

Our purpose in this paper is to expand Goodwin's (1967) distributive cycle model to an open economy framework in a way that incorporates the balance-of-payments constraint on growth. We do so by allowing technical change to be endogenous to the cyclical dynamics of the system and by adopting an independent investment function. We show that a Hopf-Bifurcation analysis establishes the possibility of persistent and bounded cyclical paths both for a 3D and a 4D extension of the model. Some numerical simulations are performed based on the analytical models developed. Motivational empirical evidence is also provided for Thirlwall's law using a sample of 16 OECD countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J. & Sordi, Serena, 2019. "Distributive cycles and endogenous technical change in a BoPC growth model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 216-233.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:77:y:2019:i:c:p:216-233
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2018.09.002
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ricardo A. Araújo & Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández, 2018. "Some new insights on the empirics of Goodwin’s growth-cycle model," Department of Economics University of Siena 790, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    2. repec:eee:streco:v:44:y:2018:i:c:p:77-87 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández, 2018. "Alternative Approaches to Technological Change when Growth is BoPC," Department of Economics University of Siena 795, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    4. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & Serena Sordi, 2018. "Path dependence, distributive cycles and export capacity in a BoPC growth model," Department of Economics University of Siena 785, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    5. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & Serena Sordi, 2018. "Attitudes Toward Climate Policies in a Macrodynamic Model of the Economy," Department of Economics University of Siena 784, Department of Economics, University of Siena.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Growth cycle; Goodwin; Thirlwall's law; Learning-by-doing; Distributive cycles; Hopf bifurcation;

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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