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The Multi-Sectoral Thirlwall’S Law: Evidence From 14 Developed European Countries Using Product-Level Data

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  • JOÃO P. ROMERO
  • JOHN. S. L. MCCOMBIE

Abstract

The paper reports estimates of import and export functions for five technological sectors in 14 developed European countries. These functions have never before been estimated for developed countries adopting a technological classification of sectors. The paper compares estimates of income elasticities found using vector error-correction models employing aggregate deflators, with estimates found using cross-product panels employing product-specific quality-adjusted price indexes recently calculated by Feenstra and Romalis. The results indicate that the income elasticities of imports and exports are higher for medium- and high-tech manufactures, which suggests the importance of moving from the production of simple goods to the production of goods with high technological content. The estimates also suggest that the Multi-Sectoral Thirlwall’s Law holds for the countries analysed, while comparing the estimates revealed that cross-product panels with quality-adjusted prices generate considerably more robust results. The investigation reveals that using a more recent time period generates estimates of income elasticities of demand for primary products and resource-based manufactures that tend to be higher than the estimates found by studies that have used longer time periods, while the opposite holds for low-, medium-, and high-tech manufactures.
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Suggested Citation

  • João P. Romero & John. S. L. Mccombie, 2016. "The Multi-Sectoral Thirlwall’S Law: Evidence From 14 Developed European Countries Using Product-Level Data," Anais do XLII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 42nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 084, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  • Handle: RePEc:anp:en2014:084
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christopher F Baum, 2006. "An Introduction to Modern Econometrics using Stata," Stata Press books, StataCorp LP, number imeus, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & José L. Oreiro & Mario W. D. Dávila, 2018. "Endogenizing Non-Price Competitiveness In A Model With Capital Accumulation And Bopc On Growth," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 83, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    2. repec:taf:irapec:v:32:y:2018:i:2:p:215-236 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:arh:jrujec:v:5:y:2019:i:1:p:1-26 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J. & Sordi, Serena, 2019. "Distributive cycles and endogenous technical change in a BoPC growth model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 216-233.
    5. repec:gei:jnlfer:v:2:y:2017:i:1:p:1-15 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. repec:eee:streco:v:44:y:2018:i:c:p:77-87 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández, 2018. "Alternative Approaches to Technological Change when Growth is BoPC," Department of Economics University of Siena 795, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    8. Garcimartin, Carlos & Kvedaras, Virmantas & Rivas, Luis, 2016. "Business cycles in a balance-of-payments constrained growth framework," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 120-132.
    9. Elias Soukiazis & Micaela Antunes & Ioannis Kostakis, 2018. "The Greek economy under the twin-deficit pressure: a demand orientated growth approach," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 215-236, March.
    10. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & Serena Sordi, 2018. "Path dependence, distributive cycles and export capacity in a BoPC growth model," Department of Economics University of Siena 785, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    11. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & Serena Sordi, 2018. "Attitudes Toward Climate Policies in a Macrodynamic Model of the Economy," Department of Economics University of Siena 784, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    12. Jeanete Dias & Micaela Antunes, 2015. "Applying Thirlwall’s Law to the Portuguese economy: a sectoral analysis," GEMF Working Papers 2015-20, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    13. João Prates Romero, 2018. "A Kaldor-Schumpeter Model Of Cumulative Growth: Combining Increasing Returns And Non-Price Competitiveness With Technological Catch-Up And Research Intensity," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 75, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

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