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Wage Cyclicality and Labor Market Institutions

Author

Listed:
  • João Pereira
  • Raul Ramos
  • Pedro S. Martins

Abstract

Do labor institutions influence how wages respond to the business cycle? Such responsiveness can then shape several economic outcomes, including unemployment. In this paper, we examine the role of two key labor market institutions—collective bargaining and temporary contracts—upon wage cyclicality. Our evidence is drawn from rich, 2002–2020 matched data from Portugal. We find that workers not covered by collective agreements exhibit much higher wage cyclicality, especially new hires, compared to covered workers. In contrast, workers under temporary contracts do not exhibit sizable differences in cyclicality compared to counterparts under permanent (open‐ended) contracts. Our findings highlight a novel angle through which labor institutions influence the labor market and the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • João Pereira & Raul Ramos & Pedro S. Martins, 2025. "Wage Cyclicality and Labor Market Institutions," Industrial Relations: A Journal of Economy and Society, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(4), pages 598-615, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:indres:v:64:y:2025:i:4:p:598-615
    DOI: 10.1111/irel.12387
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    Cited by:

    1. Arespa, Marta, 2024. "The exchange rate regime, a determinant of the degree of risk sharing between profits and wages," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1910-1932.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J52 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor-Management Relations, Trade Unions, and Collective Bargaining - - - Dispute Resolution: Strikes, Arbitration, and Mediation

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