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Do U.S. Cotton Subsidies Affect Competing Exporters? An Analysis of Import Demand in China

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  • Muhammad, Andrew
  • McPhail, Lihong Lu
  • Kiawu, James

Abstract

We estimate the demand for imported cotton in China and assess the competitiveness of cotton-exporting countries. Given the assertion that developing countries are negatively affected by U.S. cotton subsidies, our focus is the price competition between the United States and competing exporters (Benin, Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, India, and Uzbekistan). We further project how U.S. programs affect China’s imports by country. Results indicate that if U.S. subsidies make other exporting countries worse off, this effect is lessened when global prices respond accordingly. If subsidies are eliminated, China’s cotton imports may not fully recover from the temporary spike in global prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad, Andrew & McPhail, Lihong Lu & Kiawu, James, 2012. "Do U.S. Cotton Subsidies Affect Competing Exporters? An Analysis of Import Demand in China," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 44(2), pages 1-15, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:joaaec:123786
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.123786
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sun, Changyou, 2015. "An investigation of China's import demand for wood pulp and wastepaper," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 113-121.
    2. Luo, Xinjian & Sun, Changyou & Jiang, Hongfei & Zhang, Ying & Meng, Qian, 2015. "International trade after intervention: The case of bedroom furniture," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 180-191.
    3. Chen, Bowen & Villoria, Nelson & Xia, Tian, 2017. "Import Protections in China’s Grain Markets: An Empirical Assessment," 2017: Globalization Adrift, December 3-5, 2017, Washington, D.C. 266817, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    4. Sun, Changyou, 2014. "Recent growth in China's roundwood import and its global implications," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 43-53.
    5. Nazif Durmaz, 2014. "Inventories of Asian Textile Producers, US Cotton Exports, and the Exchange Rate," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(4), pages 397-413, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Relations/Trade;

    JEL classification:

    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

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