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Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Matteo Bizzarri & Marco Pangallo & Francisco Queirós, 2025. "Production Networks, Time to Build and Endogenous Oscillations," CSEF Working Papers 764, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
  2. Spiros Bougheas & Pasquale Commendatore & Laura Gardini & Ingrid Kubin, 2022. "Financial Development, Cycles and Income Inequality in a Model with Good and Bad Projects," CESifo Working Paper Series 10135, CESifo.
  3. Iwasa, Kazumichi & Sorger, Gerhard, 2018. "Periodic solutions of the one-sector growth model: The role of income effects," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 59-63.
  4. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
  5. Viv B. Hall & Peter Thomson, 2024. "Selecting a Boosted HP Filter for Growth Cycle Analysis Based on Maximising Sharpness," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 20(2), pages 193-217, July.
  6. Benhabib, Jess & Dong, Feng & Wang, Pengfei & Xu, Zhenyang, 2025. "Aggregate demand externality and self-fulfilling default cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
  7. Jaccard, Ivan, 2022. "The trade-off between public health and the economy in the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic," Working Paper Series 2690, European Central Bank.
  8. Gao, Yang & Gong, Gang, 2020. "Stabilizing and destabilizing mechanisms: A new perspective to understand business cycles," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 51-68.
  9. Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann & Dora Xia, 2018. "The financial cycle and recession risk," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
  10. Lee, Heon, 2025. "On the instability of fractional reserve banking," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
  11. Maximilian Grimm & Moritz Schularick & Emil Verner, 2026. "Financial Liberalizations, Booms, and Crashes," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2026-034, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  12. repec:rim:rimwps:23-14 is not listed on IDEAS
  13. Martins, Manuel Mota Freitas & Verona, Fabio, 2020. "Forecasting inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips curve: Frequency matters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2020, Bank of Finland.
  14. Robert Calvert Jump & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2023. "Building blocks of a heterodox business cycle theory," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(2), pages 334-358, April.
  15. Pelgrin, Florian & Venditti, Alain, 2022. "On the long-run fluctuations of inheritance in two-sector OLG models," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  16. Viv B. Hall & Peter Thomson, 2022. "A Boosted HP Filter for Business Cycle Analysis: Evidence from New Zealand's Small Open Economy," CAMA Working Papers 2022-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  17. Hartwig, Johannes, 2022. "Semi-endogenous growth dynamics in a macroeconomic model with delays," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 538-551.
  18. Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2021. "Inflation Dynamics and Forecast: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2101, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
  19. Hashimoto, Ken-ichi & Im, Ryonghun & Kunieda, Takuma & Shibata, Akihisa, 2022. "Financial destabilization," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  20. Feng Dong & Fei Zhou, 2025. "Self‐Fulfilling Business Cycles With Production Networks," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 66(3), pages 1175-1206, August.
  21. Sordi, Serena & Naimzada, Ahmad & Davila-Fernandez, Marwil J., 2025. "A dynamic model of real-financial markets interaction," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  22. Maxime Menuet & Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu, 2019. "The Peril of Fiscal Rules," Post-Print hal-02314996, HAL.
  23. Nishimura, Kazuo & Pelgrin, Florian & Venditti, Alain, 2025. "Business cycles fluctuations in three-sector intertemporal equilibrium models," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
  24. Iñaki Aldasoro & Stefan Avdjiev & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat, 2023. "Global and Domestic Financial Cycles: Variations on a Theme," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(5), pages 49-98, December.
  25. Karl Naumann-Woleske & Michael Benzaquen & Maxim Gusev & Dimitri Kroujiline, 2021. "Capital Demand Driven Business Cycles: Mechanism and Effects," Papers 2110.00360, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
  26. Chen, Qian & Koch, Christoffer & Richardson, Gary & Sharma, Padma, 2025. "Suspensions of payments and their consequences," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  27. Menuet, Maxime & Minea, Alexandru & Villieu, Patrick, 2024. "The perils of fiscal feedback rules," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
  28. Beaudry, Paul & Portier, Franck, 2019. "Duration dependence in US expansions: A re-examination of the evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1-1.
  29. Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
  30. Verbrugge, Randal & Zaman, Saeed, 2023. "The hard road to a soft landing: Evidence from a (modestly) nonlinear structural model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  31. Vyacheslav Arbuzov & Yu Awaya & Hiroki Fukai & Makoto Watanabe, 2024. "Endogenous Cycles in Collateralized Credit," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(2-3), pages 627-646, March.
  32. Bruce Fallick & Pawel Krolikowski, 2022. "Excess Persistence in Employment of Disadvantaged Workers," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(4), pages 1-52, October.
  33. Akhil Rao & Giacomo Rondina, 2025. "The Economics of Orbit Use: Open Access, External Costs, and Runaway Debris Growth," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 12(2), pages 353-388.
  34. Laurent Linnemer & Michael Visser, 2018. "Jean-Michel Grandmont A forthcoming mind," Working Papers 2018-06, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  35. Kamber, Güneş & Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2025. "Trend-cycle decomposition in the presence of large shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
  36. Hall, Viv B & Thomson, Peter, 2022. "A boosted HP filter for business cycle analysis: evidence from New Zealand’s small open economy," Working Paper Series 9473, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
  37. Edouard Schaal & Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel, 2020. "Herding cycles," Economics Working Papers 1714, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised May 2023.
  38. Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2023. "Business Cycles and Low-Frequency Fluctuations in the US Unemployment Rate," Working Papers 23-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  39. Alexeeva, Tatyana A. & Kuznetsov, Nikolay V. & Mokaev, Timur N., 2021. "Study of irregular dynamics in an economic model: attractor localization and Lyapunov exponents," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  40. Kockerols, Thore & Kravik, Erling Motzfeldt & Mimir, Yasin, 2026. "Leaning against persistent financial cycles with occasional crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
  41. Claudio Borio, 2021. "Back to the Future: Intellectual Challenges for Monetary Policy," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 40(4), pages 273-287, December.
  42. Barrales-Ruiz, Jose & Arnim, Rudiger von, 2021. "Endogenous fluctuations in demand and distribution: An empirical investigation," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 204-220.
  43. Lubik, Thomas A. & Matthes, Christian & Verona, Fabio, 2019. "Assessing U.S. aggregate fluctuations across time and frequencies," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2019, Bank of Finland.
  44. Schaal, Edouard & Taschereau-Dumouchel, Mathieu, 2023. "Herding through booms and busts," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
  45. Brianti, Marco & Cormun, Vito, 2024. "Expectation-driven boom-bust cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  46. Takao Asano & Akihisa Shibata & Masanori Yokoo, 2024. "Technology choice, externalities in production, and a chaotic middle-income trap," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 141(1), pages 29-56, January.
  47. Barnett William A. & Bella Giovanni & Ghosh Taniya & Mattana Paolo & Venturi Beatrice, 2023. "Controlling chaos in New Keynesian macroeconomics," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(2), pages 219-236, April.
  48. Karsten Kohler & Robert Calvert Jump, 2022. "Estimating Nonlinear Business Cycle Mechanisms with Linear Vector Autoregressions: A Monte Carlo Study," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(5), pages 1077-1100, October.
  49. Gardini, Laura & Radi, Davide & Schmitt, Noemi & Sushko, Iryna & Westerhoff, Frank, 2023. "Sentiment-driven business cycle dynamics: An elementary macroeconomic model with animal spirits," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 342-359.
  50. Parimoo, Suneil, 2024. "Cycles and self-fulfilling crises in open economies with stock collateral constraints under impatience," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  51. Gallo, Ettore, 2025. "Reduction of CO2 emissions, climate damage and the persistence of business cycles: A model of (de)coupling," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 725-737.
  52. Kinateder, Harald & Gurrib, Ikhlaas & Choudhury, Tonmoy, 2024. "Navigating crises: Gold's role as a safe haven for U.S. sectors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
  53. Dana Galizia, 2021. "Saddle cycles: Solving rational expectations models featuring limit cycles (or chaos) using perturbation methods," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(3), pages 869-901, July.
  54. Farboodi, Maryam & Kondor, Péter, 2023. "Cleansing by tight credit: Rational cycles and endogenous lending standards," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 46-67.
  55. Boehl, Gregor & Hommes, Cars, 2025. "Rational vs. irrational beliefs in a complex world," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
  56. Orlando Gomes, 2025. "Heterogeneous Entrepreneurial Will and Aggregate Fluctuations: A Reassessment of the Standard Keynesian Macro Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 66(5), pages 4351-4379, November.
  57. Josef Schroth, 2021. "On the Distributional Effects of Bank Bailouts," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 40, pages 252-277, April.
  58. Christopher Sandmann & Nicolas Bonneton, 2023. "Existence of a Non-Stationary Equilibrium in Search-And-Matching Models: TU and NTU," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2023_427v2, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, revised Feb 2025.
  59. Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2024. "Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequencies Matter," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 86(4), pages 811-832, August.
  60. Jing Liang & Shilei Yang, 2024. "The profitability implications of supplier concentration during economic recession and restoration: the moderating role of supply localization," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-13, December.
  61. Natasha Kang, Da & Marmer, Vadim, 2024. "Modeling long cycles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 242(1).
  62. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Tzaawa-Krenzler, Mary, 2023. "Sticky information and the Taylor principle," IMFS Working Paper Series 189, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
  63. Dave, Chetan & Sorge, Marco M., 2021. "Equilibrium indeterminacy and sunspot tales," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  64. Morana, Claudio, 2024. "A new macro-financial condition index for the euro area," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 64-87.
  65. Mariano Kulish & Adrian Pagan, 2021. "Turning point and oscillatory cycles: Concepts, measurement, and use," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(4), pages 977-1006, September.
  66. Juhro, Solikin M. & Iyke, Bernard Njindan & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2024. "Capital flow dynamics and the synchronization of financial cycles and business cycles in emerging market economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  67. Skott, Peter, 2023. "Endogenous business cycles and economic policy," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 61-82.
  68. Randal Verbrugge & Saeed Zaman, 2024. "Post‐COVID inflation dynamics: Higher for longer," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 871-893, July.
  69. Liu, Taoxiong & Liu, Zhuohao, 2022. "A growth model with endogenous technological revolutions and cycles," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  70. Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2019. "Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 568-591.
  71. Dessertaine, Théo & Moran, José & Benzaquen, Michael & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2022. "Out-of-equilibrium dynamics and excess volatility in firm networks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  72. Nils M. Gornemann & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Felipe Saffie, 2020. "Exchange Rates and Endogenous Productivity," International Finance Discussion Papers 1301, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  73. Francesco Bianchi & Giovanni Nicolò & Dongho Song, 2023. "Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 31075, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  74. Giovanni Bella & Paolo Mattana & Beatrice Venturi, 2022. "Existence and implications of a pitchfork-Hopf bifurcation in a continuous-time two-sector growth model," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(1), pages 259-285, January.
  75. Yves Schueler, 2024. "Filtering economic time series: On the cyclical properties of Hamilton’s regression filter and the Hodrick-Prescott filter," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 54, October.
  76. Ciola, Emanuele & Gaffeo, Edoardo & Gallegati, Mauro, 2022. "Search for profits and business fluctuations: How does banks’ behaviour explain cycles?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  77. Mikhail Mamonov & Anna Pestova, 2021. "Credit Supply Shocks and Household Defaults," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp691, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
  78. Pangallo, Marco, 2025. "Synchronization of endogenous business cycles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
  79. Martin M. Andreasen & Anders F. Kronborg, 2022. "The extended perturbation method: With applications to the New Keynesian model and the zero lower bound," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1171-1202, July.
  80. Bagliano, Fabio C. & Morana, Claudio, 2025. "Eurozone economic integration: Historical developments and new challenges ahead," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
  81. Ignacio Escanuela Romana & Clara Escanuela Nieves, 2023. "A spectral approach to stock market performance," Papers 2305.05762, arXiv.org.
  82. Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie & Uribe, Martín, 2021. "Deterministic debt cycles in open economies with flow collateral constraints," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
  83. Jose Barrales‐Ruiz & Rudiger von Arnim & Mikidadu Mohammed, 2023. "Income distribution and economic activity: A frequency domain causal exploration," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(2), pages 306-327, May.
  84. Christian Friedrich & Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon, 2020. "Monetary Policy Independence and the Strength of the Global Financial Cycle," Staff Working Papers 20-25, Bank of Canada.
  85. Jing Wan & Jie Zhang, 2023. "R&D subsidies, income taxes, and growth through cycles," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 76(3), pages 827-866, October.
  86. Maryam Farboodi & Péter Kondor, 2020. "Rational Sentiments and Economic Cycles," NBER Working Papers 27472, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  87. Alexeeva, Tatyana A. & Kuznetsov, Nikolay V. & Mokaev, Timur N. & Zelinka, Ivan, 2025. "Chaotic dynamics in an overlapping generations model: Forecasting and regularization," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
  88. Hwang, Sun Ho & Kim, Yun Jung, 2021. "International output synchronization at different frequencies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
  89. Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2020. "Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2001, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
  90. Maliar, Lilia & Taylor, John B., 2024. "Odyssean forward guidance in normal times," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
  91. Chetan Dave & Marco M. Sorge, 2025. "Fat‐tailed DSGE models: A survey and new results," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(1), pages 146-171, February.
  92. Granese, Antonio, 2026. "Two main business cycle shocks are better than one," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
  93. Zhou, Ye & Huang, Difang & Chen, Muzi & Wang, Yunlong & Yang, Xiaoguang, 2024. "How did small business respond to unexpected shocks? Evidence from a natural experiment in China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  94. Friedrich Lucke, 2022. "The Great Moderation and the Financial Cycle," Working Papers REM 2022/0238, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
  95. Claudio Borio, 2021. "Navigating by r*: safe or hazardous?," BIS Working Papers 982, Bank for International Settlements.
  96. Josh Davis & Alan M. Taylor, 2022. "The Leverage Factor: Credit Cycles and Asset Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(10), pages 7350-7361, October.
  97. Nicolas Abad, 2019. "Firms' Labor Market Power and Aggregate Instability," Working Papers hal-02329802, HAL.
  98. Frédéric Dufourt & Kazuo Nishimura & Alain Venditti, 2025. "Expectations, beliefs and the business cycle: tracing back to the deep economic drivers," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 79(1), pages 89-149, February.
  99. Andrew B. Martinez & Alexander D. Schibuola & David Beckworth, 2026. "The Reliability of the Nominal GDP Expectations Gap," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 22(2), pages 525-557, April.
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