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The perils of fiscal feedback rules

Author

Listed:
  • Maxime Menuet

    (GREDEG - Groupe de Recherche en Droit, Economie et Gestion - UNS - Université Nice Sophia Antipolis (1965 - 2019) - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UniCA - Université Côte d'Azur, IPAG Business School)

  • Alexandru Minea

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [2022-...] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne, ICUB - Research Institute of the University of Bucharest - UniBuc - University of Bucharest, Carleton University, UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne)

  • Patrick Villieu

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [2022-...] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne)

Abstract

This paper introduces a fiscal feedback rule (FFR) in an endogenous growth model with public debt dynamics. We assume that part of the debt burden is covered by tax increases (we name this “sterilization”), while the remaining part is financed by issuing new debt. We show that while low sterilization does not ensure the existence of a long-run steady state, high sterilization can lead to multiple steady states and aggregate instability in the form of local and global indeterminacy, potentially condemning the economy to a low-growth/high-debt trap steady state and long-lasting public debt cycles. By combining econometric estimations and a calibration exercise on developed economies, we highlight that these various perils can occur for empirically plausible values of the sterilization coefficient.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Maxime Menuet & Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu, 2024. "The perils of fiscal feedback rules," Post-Print hal-04720018, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04720018
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2024.105857
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    Cited by:

    1. Grégory Donnat & Maxime Menuet & Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu, 2025. "Does Public Debt Impair Total Factor Productivity?," GREDEG Working Papers 2025-26, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    2. Kushawaha, Deepak & Jain, Manisha, 2025. "Understanding the dynamics of public debt on renewable energy investment in developing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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